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Autores principales: He, Peilun, Kordzakhia, Nino, Peters, Gareth W., Shevchenko, Pavel V.
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.19385
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author He, Peilun
Kordzakhia, Nino
Peters, Gareth W.
Shevchenko, Pavel V.
author_facet He, Peilun
Kordzakhia, Nino
Peters, Gareth W.
Shevchenko, Pavel V.
contents PDSim is an R package that enables users to simulate commodity futures prices using the polynomial diffusion model introduced in Filipovic & Larsson (2016) through both a Shiny web application and R scripts. For user-supplied data, a standalone R routine has been developed to provide joint estimation of state variables and model parameters via the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) or Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF). With its user-friendly interface, PDSim makes the features of simulations and estimations accessible. To date, it is the only package specifically designed for the simulation and estimation of the polynomial diffusion model. The Schwartz-Smith two-factor model (Schwartz & Smith, 2000) is also available within this package for both simulation and calibration. The package is validated through several tests, including replication of the results in Schwartz & Smith (2000), unit testing of the coverage rate, and verification of the outputs of the main functions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_19385
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle PDSim: A Shiny App for Simulating and Estimating Polynomial Diffusion Models in Commodity Futures
He, Peilun
Kordzakhia, Nino
Peters, Gareth W.
Shevchenko, Pavel V.
Statistical Finance
PDSim is an R package that enables users to simulate commodity futures prices using the polynomial diffusion model introduced in Filipovic & Larsson (2016) through both a Shiny web application and R scripts. For user-supplied data, a standalone R routine has been developed to provide joint estimation of state variables and model parameters via the Extended Kalman Filter (EKF) or Unscented Kalman Filter (UKF). With its user-friendly interface, PDSim makes the features of simulations and estimations accessible. To date, it is the only package specifically designed for the simulation and estimation of the polynomial diffusion model. The Schwartz-Smith two-factor model (Schwartz & Smith, 2000) is also available within this package for both simulation and calibration. The package is validated through several tests, including replication of the results in Schwartz & Smith (2000), unit testing of the coverage rate, and verification of the outputs of the main functions.
title PDSim: A Shiny App for Simulating and Estimating Polynomial Diffusion Models in Commodity Futures
topic Statistical Finance
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.19385