A Comprehensive Guide to Simulation-based Inference in Computational Biology

Fuente: arXiv
Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wang, Xiaoyu, Kelly, Ryan P., Jenner, Adrianne L., Warne, David J., Drovandi, Christopher
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
_version_ 1866917789762060288
author Wang, Xiaoyu
Kelly, Ryan P.
Jenner, Adrianne L.
Warne, David J.
Drovandi, Christopher
author_facet Wang, Xiaoyu
Kelly, Ryan P.
Jenner, Adrianne L.
Warne, David J.
Drovandi, Christopher
contents Computational models are invaluable in capturing the complexities of real-world biological processes. Yet, the selection of appropriate algorithms for inference tasks, especially when dealing with real-world observational data, remains a challenging and underexplored area. This gap has spurred the development of various parameter estimation algorithms, particularly within the realm of Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), such as neural and statistical SBI methods. Limited research exists on how to make informed choices on SBI methods when faced with real-world data, which often results in some form of model misspecification. In this paper, we provide comprehensive guidelines for deciding between SBI approaches for complex biological models. We apply the guidelines to two agent-based models that describe cellular dynamics using real-world data. Our study unveils a critical insight: while neural SBI methods demand significantly fewer simulations for inference results, they tend to yield biased estimations, a trend persistent even with robust variants of these algorithms. On the other hand, the accuracy of statistical SBI methods enhances substantially as the number of simulations increases. This finding suggests that, given a sufficient computational budget, statistical SBI can surpass neural SBI in performance. Our results not only shed light on the efficacy of different SBI methodologies in real-world scenarios but also suggest potential avenues for enhancing neural SBI approaches. This study is poised to be a useful resource for computational biologists navigating the intricate landscape of SBI in biological modeling.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_19675
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Comprehensive Guide to Simulation-based Inference in Computational Biology
Wang, Xiaoyu
Kelly, Ryan P.
Jenner, Adrianne L.
Warne, David J.
Drovandi, Christopher
Applications
Quantitative Methods
Machine Learning
Computational models are invaluable in capturing the complexities of real-world biological processes. Yet, the selection of appropriate algorithms for inference tasks, especially when dealing with real-world observational data, remains a challenging and underexplored area. This gap has spurred the development of various parameter estimation algorithms, particularly within the realm of Simulation-Based Inference (SBI), such as neural and statistical SBI methods. Limited research exists on how to make informed choices on SBI methods when faced with real-world data, which often results in some form of model misspecification. In this paper, we provide comprehensive guidelines for deciding between SBI approaches for complex biological models. We apply the guidelines to two agent-based models that describe cellular dynamics using real-world data. Our study unveils a critical insight: while neural SBI methods demand significantly fewer simulations for inference results, they tend to yield biased estimations, a trend persistent even with robust variants of these algorithms. On the other hand, the accuracy of statistical SBI methods enhances substantially as the number of simulations increases. This finding suggests that, given a sufficient computational budget, statistical SBI can surpass neural SBI in performance. Our results not only shed light on the efficacy of different SBI methodologies in real-world scenarios but also suggest potential avenues for enhancing neural SBI approaches. This study is poised to be a useful resource for computational biologists navigating the intricate landscape of SBI in biological modeling.
title A Comprehensive Guide to Simulation-based Inference in Computational Biology
topic Applications
Quantitative Methods
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.19675