SurvCORN: Survival Analysis with Conditional Ordinal Ranking Neural Network

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Ridzuan, Muhammad, Saeed, Numan, Maani, Fadillah Adamsyah, Nandakumar, Karthik, Yaqub, Mohammad
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Ridzuan, Muhammad
Saeed, Numan
Maani, Fadillah Adamsyah
Nandakumar, Karthik
Yaqub, Mohammad
author_facet Ridzuan, Muhammad
Saeed, Numan
Maani, Fadillah Adamsyah
Nandakumar, Karthik
Yaqub, Mohammad
contents Survival analysis plays a crucial role in estimating the likelihood of future events for patients by modeling time-to-event data, particularly in healthcare settings where predictions about outcomes such as death and disease recurrence are essential. However, this analysis poses challenges due to the presence of censored data, where time-to-event information is missing for certain data points. Yet, censored data can offer valuable insights, provided we appropriately incorporate the censoring time during modeling. In this paper, we propose SurvCORN, a novel method utilizing conditional ordinal ranking networks to predict survival curves directly. Additionally, we introduce SurvMAE, a metric designed to evaluate the accuracy of model predictions in estimating time-to-event outcomes. Through empirical evaluation on two real-world cancer datasets, we demonstrate SurvCORN's ability to maintain accurate ordering between patient outcomes while improving individual time-to-event predictions. Our contributions extend recent advancements in ordinal regression to survival analysis, offering valuable insights into accurate prognosis in healthcare settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2409_19901
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SurvCORN: Survival Analysis with Conditional Ordinal Ranking Neural Network
Ridzuan, Muhammad
Saeed, Numan
Maani, Fadillah Adamsyah
Nandakumar, Karthik
Yaqub, Mohammad
Machine Learning
Survival analysis plays a crucial role in estimating the likelihood of future events for patients by modeling time-to-event data, particularly in healthcare settings where predictions about outcomes such as death and disease recurrence are essential. However, this analysis poses challenges due to the presence of censored data, where time-to-event information is missing for certain data points. Yet, censored data can offer valuable insights, provided we appropriately incorporate the censoring time during modeling. In this paper, we propose SurvCORN, a novel method utilizing conditional ordinal ranking networks to predict survival curves directly. Additionally, we introduce SurvMAE, a metric designed to evaluate the accuracy of model predictions in estimating time-to-event outcomes. Through empirical evaluation on two real-world cancer datasets, we demonstrate SurvCORN's ability to maintain accurate ordering between patient outcomes while improving individual time-to-event predictions. Our contributions extend recent advancements in ordinal regression to survival analysis, offering valuable insights into accurate prognosis in healthcare settings.
title SurvCORN: Survival Analysis with Conditional Ordinal Ranking Neural Network
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2409.19901