Uncertainty-aware Human Mobility Modeling and Anomaly Detection

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Wen, Haomin, Cao, Shurui, Rasheed, Zeeshan, Shafique, Khurram Hassan, Akoglu, Leman
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Wen, Haomin
Cao, Shurui
Rasheed, Zeeshan
Shafique, Khurram Hassan
Akoglu, Leman
author_facet Wen, Haomin
Cao, Shurui
Rasheed, Zeeshan
Shafique, Khurram Hassan
Akoglu, Leman
contents Given the temporal GPS coordinates from a large set of human agents, how can we model their mobility behavior toward effective anomaly (e.g. bad-actor or malicious behavior) detection without any labeled data? Human mobility and trajectory modeling have been extensively studied, showcasing varying abilities to manage complex inputs and balance performance-efficiency trade-offs. In this work, we formulate anomaly detection in complex human behavior by modeling raw GPS data as a sequence of stay-point events, each characterized by spatio-temporal features, along with trips (i.e. commute) between the stay-points. Our problem formulation allows us to leverage modern sequence models for unsupervised training and anomaly detection. Notably, we equip our proposed model USTAD (for Uncertainty-aware Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Detection) with aleatoric (i.e. data) uncertainty estimation to account for inherent stochasticity in certain individuals' behavior, as well as epistemic (i.e. model) uncertainty to handle data sparsity under a large variety of human behaviors. Together, aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties unlock a robust loss function as well as uncertainty-aware decision-making in anomaly scoring. Extensive experiments shows that USTAD improves anomaly detection AUCROC by 3\%-15\% over baselines in industry-scale data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_01281
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Uncertainty-aware Human Mobility Modeling and Anomaly Detection
Wen, Haomin
Cao, Shurui
Rasheed, Zeeshan
Shafique, Khurram Hassan
Akoglu, Leman
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Given the temporal GPS coordinates from a large set of human agents, how can we model their mobility behavior toward effective anomaly (e.g. bad-actor or malicious behavior) detection without any labeled data? Human mobility and trajectory modeling have been extensively studied, showcasing varying abilities to manage complex inputs and balance performance-efficiency trade-offs. In this work, we formulate anomaly detection in complex human behavior by modeling raw GPS data as a sequence of stay-point events, each characterized by spatio-temporal features, along with trips (i.e. commute) between the stay-points. Our problem formulation allows us to leverage modern sequence models for unsupervised training and anomaly detection. Notably, we equip our proposed model USTAD (for Uncertainty-aware Spatio-Temporal Anomaly Detection) with aleatoric (i.e. data) uncertainty estimation to account for inherent stochasticity in certain individuals' behavior, as well as epistemic (i.e. model) uncertainty to handle data sparsity under a large variety of human behaviors. Together, aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties unlock a robust loss function as well as uncertainty-aware decision-making in anomaly scoring. Extensive experiments shows that USTAD improves anomaly detection AUCROC by 3\%-15\% over baselines in industry-scale data.
title Uncertainty-aware Human Mobility Modeling and Anomaly Detection
topic Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.01281