Populist Constitutional Backsliding and Judicial Independence: Evidence from Turkiye

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Garoupa, Nuno, Spruk, Rok
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Garoupa, Nuno
Spruk, Rok
author_facet Garoupa, Nuno
Spruk, Rok
contents The synthetic control method has emerged as a widely utilized empirical tool for estimating the causal effects of public policies, natural disasters, and other interventions on various economic, social, institutional, and political outcomes. In this study, we demonstrate the potential application of this method in empirical comparative law by estimating the impact of the 2010 constitutional referendum in Turkiye on the trajectory of judicial independence. By comparing Turkiye with a salient Mediterranean donor pool of countries that did not experience similar interventions during the period from 1987 to 2021, we provide evidence of a severe breakdown and erosion of judicial independence. This deterioration appears to be a direct response to the populist constitutional backsliding initiated by the government-orchestrated assault on the judiciary, which was carried out under the guise of judicial modernization in 2010, before the additional constitutional reforms in 2017.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_02439
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Populist Constitutional Backsliding and Judicial Independence: Evidence from Turkiye
Garoupa, Nuno
Spruk, Rok
General Economics
Economics
The synthetic control method has emerged as a widely utilized empirical tool for estimating the causal effects of public policies, natural disasters, and other interventions on various economic, social, institutional, and political outcomes. In this study, we demonstrate the potential application of this method in empirical comparative law by estimating the impact of the 2010 constitutional referendum in Turkiye on the trajectory of judicial independence. By comparing Turkiye with a salient Mediterranean donor pool of countries that did not experience similar interventions during the period from 1987 to 2021, we provide evidence of a severe breakdown and erosion of judicial independence. This deterioration appears to be a direct response to the populist constitutional backsliding initiated by the government-orchestrated assault on the judiciary, which was carried out under the guise of judicial modernization in 2010, before the additional constitutional reforms in 2017.
title Populist Constitutional Backsliding and Judicial Independence: Evidence from Turkiye
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.02439