Prediction and Inference: From Models and Data to Artificial Intelligence

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Gammaitoni, Luca, Vulpiani, Angelo
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Gammaitoni, Luca
Vulpiani, Angelo
author_facet Gammaitoni, Luca
Vulpiani, Angelo
contents In this paper we present a discussion of the basic aspects of the well-known problem of prediction and inference in physics, with specific attention to the role of models, the use of data and the application of recent developments in artificial intelligence. By focussing in the time evolution of dynamic system, it is shown that main difficulties in predictions arise due to the presence of few factors as: the occurrence of chaotic dynamics, the existence of many variables with very different characteristic time-scales and the lack of an accurate understanding of the underlying physical phenomena. It is shown that a crucial role is assigned to the preliminary identification of the proper variables, their selection and the identification of an appropriate level of description (coarse-graining procedure).
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_03169
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Prediction and Inference: From Models and Data to Artificial Intelligence
Gammaitoni, Luca
Vulpiani, Angelo
General Physics
In this paper we present a discussion of the basic aspects of the well-known problem of prediction and inference in physics, with specific attention to the role of models, the use of data and the application of recent developments in artificial intelligence. By focussing in the time evolution of dynamic system, it is shown that main difficulties in predictions arise due to the presence of few factors as: the occurrence of chaotic dynamics, the existence of many variables with very different characteristic time-scales and the lack of an accurate understanding of the underlying physical phenomena. It is shown that a crucial role is assigned to the preliminary identification of the proper variables, their selection and the identification of an appropriate level of description (coarse-graining procedure).
title Prediction and Inference: From Models and Data to Artificial Intelligence
topic General Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.03169