Assumption-Lean Post-Integrated Inference with Surrogate Control Outcomes

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Du, Jin-Hong, Roeder, Kathryn, Wasserman, Larry
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Du, Jin-Hong
Roeder, Kathryn
Wasserman, Larry
author_facet Du, Jin-Hong
Roeder, Kathryn
Wasserman, Larry
contents Data integration methods aim to extract low-dimensional embeddings from high-dimensional outcomes to remove unwanted variations, such as batch effects and unmeasured covariates, across heterogeneous datasets. However, multiple hypothesis testing after integration can be biased due to data-dependent processes. We introduce a robust post-integrated inference method that accounts for latent heterogeneity by utilizing control outcomes. Leveraging causal interpretations, we derive nonparametric identifiability of the direct effects using negative control outcomes. By utilizing surrogate control outcomes as an extension of negative control outcomes, we develop semiparametric inference on projected direct effect estimands, accounting for hidden mediators, confounders, and moderators. These estimands remain statistically meaningful under model misspecifications and with error-prone embeddings. We provide bias quantifications and finite-sample linear expansions with uniform concentration bounds. The proposed doubly robust estimators are consistent and efficient under minimal assumptions and potential misspecification, facilitating data-adaptive estimation with machine learning algorithms. Our proposal is evaluated using random forests through simulations and analysis of single-cell CRISPR perturbed datasets, which may contain potential unmeasured confounders.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_04996
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Assumption-Lean Post-Integrated Inference with Surrogate Control Outcomes
Du, Jin-Hong
Roeder, Kathryn
Wasserman, Larry
Methodology
Machine Learning
Genomics
Applications
Data integration methods aim to extract low-dimensional embeddings from high-dimensional outcomes to remove unwanted variations, such as batch effects and unmeasured covariates, across heterogeneous datasets. However, multiple hypothesis testing after integration can be biased due to data-dependent processes. We introduce a robust post-integrated inference method that accounts for latent heterogeneity by utilizing control outcomes. Leveraging causal interpretations, we derive nonparametric identifiability of the direct effects using negative control outcomes. By utilizing surrogate control outcomes as an extension of negative control outcomes, we develop semiparametric inference on projected direct effect estimands, accounting for hidden mediators, confounders, and moderators. These estimands remain statistically meaningful under model misspecifications and with error-prone embeddings. We provide bias quantifications and finite-sample linear expansions with uniform concentration bounds. The proposed doubly robust estimators are consistent and efficient under minimal assumptions and potential misspecification, facilitating data-adaptive estimation with machine learning algorithms. Our proposal is evaluated using random forests through simulations and analysis of single-cell CRISPR perturbed datasets, which may contain potential unmeasured confounders.
title Assumption-Lean Post-Integrated Inference with Surrogate Control Outcomes
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
Genomics
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.04996