Identification and estimation for matrix time series CP-factor models

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Chang, Jinyuan, Du, Yue, Huang, Guanglin, Yao, Qiwei
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Chang, Jinyuan
Du, Yue
Huang, Guanglin
Yao, Qiwei
author_facet Chang, Jinyuan
Du, Yue
Huang, Guanglin
Yao, Qiwei
contents We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may suffer from small eigengaps as the asymptotic theory is based on some matrix perturbation analysis, the proposed new method enjoys faster convergence rates which are free from any eigengaps. It achieves this by turning the problem into a joint diagonalization of several matrices whose elements are determined by a basis of a linear system, and by choosing the basis carefully to avoid near co-linearity (see Proposition 5 and Section 4.3). Furthermore, unlike Chang et al. (2023) which requires the two factor loading matrices to be full-ranked, the proposed new method can handle rank-deficient factor loading matrices. Illustration with both simulated and real matrix time series data shows the advantages of the proposed new method.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_05634
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identification and estimation for matrix time series CP-factor models
Chang, Jinyuan
Du, Yue
Huang, Guanglin
Yao, Qiwei
Methodology
Machine Learning
Econometrics
We propose a new method for identifying and estimating the CP-factor models for matrix time series. Unlike the generalized eigenanalysis-based method of Chang et al. (2023) for which the convergence rates of the associated estimators may suffer from small eigengaps as the asymptotic theory is based on some matrix perturbation analysis, the proposed new method enjoys faster convergence rates which are free from any eigengaps. It achieves this by turning the problem into a joint diagonalization of several matrices whose elements are determined by a basis of a linear system, and by choosing the basis carefully to avoid near co-linearity (see Proposition 5 and Section 4.3). Furthermore, unlike Chang et al. (2023) which requires the two factor loading matrices to be full-ranked, the proposed new method can handle rank-deficient factor loading matrices. Illustration with both simulated and real matrix time series data shows the advantages of the proposed new method.
title Identification and estimation for matrix time series CP-factor models
topic Methodology
Machine Learning
Econometrics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.05634