Leveraging spurious Omori-Utsu relation in the nearest-neighbor declustering method

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Puy, Andreu, Baró, Jordi, Davidsen, Jörn, Pastor-Satorras, Romualdo
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Puy, Andreu
Baró, Jordi
Davidsen, Jörn
Pastor-Satorras, Romualdo
author_facet Puy, Andreu
Baró, Jordi
Davidsen, Jörn
Pastor-Satorras, Romualdo
contents Static and dynamic stress changes in the Earth's crust induced by an earthquake typically trigger other earthquakes. Identifying such aftershocks is an important step in seismic hazard assessment but has remained challenging, especially in cases involving natural fluid migration or anthropogenic fluid injections, which can occur with varying time scales and/or episodically, leading to strong temporal variations in earthquake occurrences. Here, we demonstrate analytically and numerically that earthquake catalogs without triggering can lead to spurious Omori-Utsu and productivity relations for the commonly used nearest-neighbor declustering method. However, we show that the robustness of the Omori-Utsu exponent on newly introduced parameters of the method allows one to determine whether indeed aftershocks are present. For a natural swarm catalog, which lacks a clear distinction between triggered and background events, we find that the catalog is dominated by aftershocks.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_05874
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Leveraging spurious Omori-Utsu relation in the nearest-neighbor declustering method
Puy, Andreu
Baró, Jordi
Davidsen, Jörn
Pastor-Satorras, Romualdo
Geophysics
Statistical Mechanics
Static and dynamic stress changes in the Earth's crust induced by an earthquake typically trigger other earthquakes. Identifying such aftershocks is an important step in seismic hazard assessment but has remained challenging, especially in cases involving natural fluid migration or anthropogenic fluid injections, which can occur with varying time scales and/or episodically, leading to strong temporal variations in earthquake occurrences. Here, we demonstrate analytically and numerically that earthquake catalogs without triggering can lead to spurious Omori-Utsu and productivity relations for the commonly used nearest-neighbor declustering method. However, we show that the robustness of the Omori-Utsu exponent on newly introduced parameters of the method allows one to determine whether indeed aftershocks are present. For a natural swarm catalog, which lacks a clear distinction between triggered and background events, we find that the catalog is dominated by aftershocks.
title Leveraging spurious Omori-Utsu relation in the nearest-neighbor declustering method
topic Geophysics
Statistical Mechanics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.05874