Penalized regression with negative-unlabeled data: An approach to developing a long COVID research index

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Reeder, Harrison T., Thaweethai, Tanayott, Foulkes, Andrea S.
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Reeder, Harrison T.
Thaweethai, Tanayott
Foulkes, Andrea S.
author_facet Reeder, Harrison T.
Thaweethai, Tanayott
Foulkes, Andrea S.
contents Moderate to severe post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), also called long COVID, is estimated to impact as many as 10% of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals, representing a chronic condition with a substantial global public health burden. An expansive literature has identified over 200 long-term and persistent symptoms associated with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection; yet, there remains to be a clear consensus on a syndrome definition. Such a definition is a critical first step in future studies of risk and resiliency factors, mechanisms of disease, and interventions for both treatment and prevention. We recently applied a strategy for defining a PASC research index based on a Lasso-penalized logistic regression on history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the current paper we formalize and evaluate this approach through theoretical derivations and simulation studies. We demonstrate that this approach appropriately selects symptoms associated with PASC and results in a score that has high discriminatory power for detecting PASC. An application to data on participants enrolled in the RECOVER (Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery) Adult Cohort is presented to illustrate our findings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_07357
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Penalized regression with negative-unlabeled data: An approach to developing a long COVID research index
Reeder, Harrison T.
Thaweethai, Tanayott
Foulkes, Andrea S.
Methodology
Moderate to severe post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), also called long COVID, is estimated to impact as many as 10% of SARS-CoV-2 infected individuals, representing a chronic condition with a substantial global public health burden. An expansive literature has identified over 200 long-term and persistent symptoms associated with a history of SARS-CoV-2 infection; yet, there remains to be a clear consensus on a syndrome definition. Such a definition is a critical first step in future studies of risk and resiliency factors, mechanisms of disease, and interventions for both treatment and prevention. We recently applied a strategy for defining a PASC research index based on a Lasso-penalized logistic regression on history of SARS-CoV-2 infection. In the current paper we formalize and evaluate this approach through theoretical derivations and simulation studies. We demonstrate that this approach appropriately selects symptoms associated with PASC and results in a score that has high discriminatory power for detecting PASC. An application to data on participants enrolled in the RECOVER (Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery) Adult Cohort is presented to illustrate our findings.
title Penalized regression with negative-unlabeled data: An approach to developing a long COVID research index
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.07357