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Main Authors: Kishore, Aparna, Thorve, Swapna, Marathe, Madhav
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08098
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author Kishore, Aparna
Thorve, Swapna
Marathe, Madhav
author_facet Kishore, Aparna
Thorve, Swapna
Marathe, Madhav
contents Residential rooftop solar adoption is considered crucial for reducing carbon emissions. The lack of photovoltaic (PV) data at a finer resolution (e.g., household, hourly levels) poses a significant roadblock to informed decision-making. We discuss a novel methodology to generate a highly granular, residential-scale realistic dataset for rooftop solar adoption across the contiguous United States. The data-driven methodology consists of: (i) integrated machine learning models to identify PV adopters, (ii) methods to augment the data using explainable AI techniques to glean insights about key features and their interactions, and (iii) methods to generate household-level hourly solar energy output using an analytical model. The resulting synthetic datasets are validated using real-world data and can serve as a digital twin for modeling downstream tasks. Finally, a policy-based case study utilizing the digital twin for Virginia demonstrated increased rooftop solar adoption with the 30\% Federal Solar Investment Tax Credit, especially in Low-to-Moderate-Income communities.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_08098
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Generative AI Technique for Synthesizing a Digital Twin for U.S. Residential Solar Adoption and Generation
Kishore, Aparna
Thorve, Swapna
Marathe, Madhav
Artificial Intelligence
Residential rooftop solar adoption is considered crucial for reducing carbon emissions. The lack of photovoltaic (PV) data at a finer resolution (e.g., household, hourly levels) poses a significant roadblock to informed decision-making. We discuss a novel methodology to generate a highly granular, residential-scale realistic dataset for rooftop solar adoption across the contiguous United States. The data-driven methodology consists of: (i) integrated machine learning models to identify PV adopters, (ii) methods to augment the data using explainable AI techniques to glean insights about key features and their interactions, and (iii) methods to generate household-level hourly solar energy output using an analytical model. The resulting synthetic datasets are validated using real-world data and can serve as a digital twin for modeling downstream tasks. Finally, a policy-based case study utilizing the digital twin for Virginia demonstrated increased rooftop solar adoption with the 30\% Federal Solar Investment Tax Credit, especially in Low-to-Moderate-Income communities.
title A Generative AI Technique for Synthesizing a Digital Twin for U.S. Residential Solar Adoption and Generation
topic Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08098