Deep Generative Quantile Bayes

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Kim, Jungeum, Zhai, Percy S., Ročková, Veronika
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Kim, Jungeum
Zhai, Percy S.
Ročková, Veronika
author_facet Kim, Jungeum
Zhai, Percy S.
Ročková, Veronika
contents We develop a multivariate posterior sampling procedure through deep generative quantile learning. Simulation proceeds implicitly through a push-forward mapping that can transform i.i.d. random vector samples from the posterior. We utilize Monge-Kantorovich depth in multivariate quantiles to directly sample from Bayesian credible sets, a unique feature not offered by typical posterior sampling methods. To enhance the training of the quantile mapping, we design a neural network that automatically performs summary statistic extraction. This additional neural network structure has performance benefits, including support shrinkage (i.e., contraction of our posterior approximation) as the observation sample size increases. We demonstrate the usefulness of our approach on several examples where the absence of likelihood renders classical MCMC infeasible. Finally, we provide the following frequentist theoretical justifications for our quantile learning framework: {consistency of the estimated vector quantile, of the recovered posterior distribution, and of the corresponding Bayesian credible sets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_08378
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Deep Generative Quantile Bayes
Kim, Jungeum
Zhai, Percy S.
Ročková, Veronika
Computation
Methodology
Machine Learning
We develop a multivariate posterior sampling procedure through deep generative quantile learning. Simulation proceeds implicitly through a push-forward mapping that can transform i.i.d. random vector samples from the posterior. We utilize Monge-Kantorovich depth in multivariate quantiles to directly sample from Bayesian credible sets, a unique feature not offered by typical posterior sampling methods. To enhance the training of the quantile mapping, we design a neural network that automatically performs summary statistic extraction. This additional neural network structure has performance benefits, including support shrinkage (i.e., contraction of our posterior approximation) as the observation sample size increases. We demonstrate the usefulness of our approach on several examples where the absence of likelihood renders classical MCMC infeasible. Finally, we provide the following frequentist theoretical justifications for our quantile learning framework: {consistency of the estimated vector quantile, of the recovered posterior distribution, and of the corresponding Bayesian credible sets.
title Deep Generative Quantile Bayes
topic Computation
Methodology
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08378