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Main Authors: Hocking, Toby Dylan, Thibault, Gabrielle, Bodine, Cameron Scott, Arellano, Paul Nelson, Shenkin, Alexander F, Lindly, Olivia Jasmine
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08643
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author Hocking, Toby Dylan
Thibault, Gabrielle
Bodine, Cameron Scott
Arellano, Paul Nelson
Shenkin, Alexander F
Lindly, Olivia Jasmine
author_facet Hocking, Toby Dylan
Thibault, Gabrielle
Bodine, Cameron Scott
Arellano, Paul Nelson
Shenkin, Alexander F
Lindly, Olivia Jasmine
contents In many real-world applications of machine learning, we are interested to know if it is possible to train on the data that we have gathered so far, and obtain accurate predictions on a new test data subset that is qualitatively different in some respect (time period, geographic region, etc). Another question is whether data subsets are similar enough so that it is beneficial to combine subsets during model training. We propose SOAK, Same/Other/All K-fold cross-validation, a new method which can be used to answer both questions. SOAK systematically compares models which are trained on different subsets of data, and then used for prediction on a fixed test subset, to estimate the similarity of learnable/predictable patterns in data subsets. We show results of using SOAK on six new real data sets (with geographic/temporal subsets, to check if predictions are accurate on new subsets), 3 image pair data sets (subsets are different image types, to check that we get smaller prediction error on similar images), and 11 benchmark data sets with predefined train/test splits (to check similarity of predefined splits).
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_08643
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle SOAK: Same/Other/All K-fold cross-validation for estimating similarity of patterns in data subsets
Hocking, Toby Dylan
Thibault, Gabrielle
Bodine, Cameron Scott
Arellano, Paul Nelson
Shenkin, Alexander F
Lindly, Olivia Jasmine
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
In many real-world applications of machine learning, we are interested to know if it is possible to train on the data that we have gathered so far, and obtain accurate predictions on a new test data subset that is qualitatively different in some respect (time period, geographic region, etc). Another question is whether data subsets are similar enough so that it is beneficial to combine subsets during model training. We propose SOAK, Same/Other/All K-fold cross-validation, a new method which can be used to answer both questions. SOAK systematically compares models which are trained on different subsets of data, and then used for prediction on a fixed test subset, to estimate the similarity of learnable/predictable patterns in data subsets. We show results of using SOAK on six new real data sets (with geographic/temporal subsets, to check if predictions are accurate on new subsets), 3 image pair data sets (subsets are different image types, to check that we get smaller prediction error on similar images), and 11 benchmark data sets with predefined train/test splits (to check similarity of predefined splits).
title SOAK: Same/Other/All K-fold cross-validation for estimating similarity of patterns in data subsets
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.08643