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Main Authors: Lin, Jihao Andreas, Ament, Sebastian, Balandat, Maximilian, Bakshy, Eytan
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.09239
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author Lin, Jihao Andreas
Ament, Sebastian
Balandat, Maximilian
Bakshy, Eytan
author_facet Lin, Jihao Andreas
Ament, Sebastian
Balandat, Maximilian
Bakshy, Eytan
contents A key task in AutoML is to model learning curves of machine learning models jointly as a function of model hyper-parameters and training progression. While Gaussian processes (GPs) are suitable for this task, naïve GPs require $\mathcal{O}(n^3m^3)$ time and $\mathcal{O}(n^2 m^2)$ space for $n$ hyper-parameter configurations and $\mathcal{O}(m)$ learning curve observations per hyper-parameter. Efficient inference via Kronecker structure is typically incompatible with early-stopping due to missing learning curve values. We impose $\textit{latent Kronecker structure}$ to leverage efficient product kernels while handling missing values. In particular, we interpret the joint covariance matrix of observed values as the projection of a latent Kronecker product. Combined with iterative linear solvers and structured matrix-vector multiplication, our method only requires $\mathcal{O}(n^3 + m^3)$ time and $\mathcal{O}(n^2 + m^2)$ space. We show that our GP model can match the performance of a Transformer on a learning curve prediction task.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_09239
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Scaling Gaussian Processes for Learning Curve Prediction via Latent Kronecker Structure
Lin, Jihao Andreas
Ament, Sebastian
Balandat, Maximilian
Bakshy, Eytan
Machine Learning
A key task in AutoML is to model learning curves of machine learning models jointly as a function of model hyper-parameters and training progression. While Gaussian processes (GPs) are suitable for this task, naïve GPs require $\mathcal{O}(n^3m^3)$ time and $\mathcal{O}(n^2 m^2)$ space for $n$ hyper-parameter configurations and $\mathcal{O}(m)$ learning curve observations per hyper-parameter. Efficient inference via Kronecker structure is typically incompatible with early-stopping due to missing learning curve values. We impose $\textit{latent Kronecker structure}$ to leverage efficient product kernels while handling missing values. In particular, we interpret the joint covariance matrix of observed values as the projection of a latent Kronecker product. Combined with iterative linear solvers and structured matrix-vector multiplication, our method only requires $\mathcal{O}(n^3 + m^3)$ time and $\mathcal{O}(n^2 + m^2)$ space. We show that our GP model can match the performance of a Transformer on a learning curve prediction task.
title Scaling Gaussian Processes for Learning Curve Prediction via Latent Kronecker Structure
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.09239