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| Auteur principal: | |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Publié: |
2024
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| Sujets: | |
| Accès en ligne: | https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.10182 |
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| _version_ | 1866910871148560384 |
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| author | Marín, Javier |
| author_facet | Marín, Javier |
| contents | This paper presents a novel credit scoring approach using neural networks to address class imbalance and out-of-time prediction challenges. We develop a specific optimizer and loss function inspired by Hamiltonian mechanics that better captures credit risk dynamics. Testing on the Freddie Mac Single-Family Loan-Level Dataset shows our model achieves superior discriminative power (AUC) in out-of-time scenarios compared to conventional methods. The approach has consistent performance between in-sample and future test sets, maintaining reliability across time periods. This interdisciplinary method spans physical systems theory and financial risk management, offering practical advantages for long-term model stability. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_10182 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Hamiltonian Neural Networks for Robust Out-of-Time Credit Scoring Marín, Javier Machine Learning This paper presents a novel credit scoring approach using neural networks to address class imbalance and out-of-time prediction challenges. We develop a specific optimizer and loss function inspired by Hamiltonian mechanics that better captures credit risk dynamics. Testing on the Freddie Mac Single-Family Loan-Level Dataset shows our model achieves superior discriminative power (AUC) in out-of-time scenarios compared to conventional methods. The approach has consistent performance between in-sample and future test sets, maintaining reliability across time periods. This interdisciplinary method spans physical systems theory and financial risk management, offering practical advantages for long-term model stability. |
| title | Hamiltonian Neural Networks for Robust Out-of-Time Credit Scoring |
| topic | Machine Learning |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.10182 |