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Autores principales: Di Lavore, Elena, Jacobs, Bart, Román, Mario
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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Acceso en línea:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.10643
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author Di Lavore, Elena
Jacobs, Bart
Román, Mario
author_facet Di Lavore, Elena
Jacobs, Bart
Román, Mario
contents Probabilistic puzzles can be confusing, partly because they are formulated in natural languages - full of unclarities and ambiguities - and partly because there is no widely accepted and intuitive formal language to express them. We propose a simple formal language with arrow notation ($\gets$) for sampling from a distribution and with observe statements for conditioning (updating, belief revision). We demonstrate the usefulness of this simple language by solving several famous puzzles from probabilistic decision theory. The operational semantics of our language is expressed via the (finite, discrete) subdistribution monad. Our broader message is that proper formalisation dispels confusion.
format Preprint
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publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Simple Formal Language for Probabilistic Decision Problems
Di Lavore, Elena
Jacobs, Bart
Román, Mario
Logic in Computer Science
18M35
Probabilistic puzzles can be confusing, partly because they are formulated in natural languages - full of unclarities and ambiguities - and partly because there is no widely accepted and intuitive formal language to express them. We propose a simple formal language with arrow notation ($\gets$) for sampling from a distribution and with observe statements for conditioning (updating, belief revision). We demonstrate the usefulness of this simple language by solving several famous puzzles from probabilistic decision theory. The operational semantics of our language is expressed via the (finite, discrete) subdistribution monad. Our broader message is that proper formalisation dispels confusion.
title A Simple Formal Language for Probabilistic Decision Problems
topic Logic in Computer Science
18M35
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.10643