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Main Authors: Lee, Dongjoon, Park, Hyeryn, Lee, Changhee
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.11340
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author Lee, Dongjoon
Park, Hyeryn
Lee, Changhee
author_facet Lee, Dongjoon
Park, Hyeryn
Lee, Changhee
contents Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel contrastive learning approach specifically designed to enhance discrimination \textit{without} sacrificing calibration. Our method employs weighted sampling within a contrastive learning framework, assigning lower penalties to samples with similar survival outcomes. This aligns well with the assumption that patients with similar event times share similar clinical statuses. Consequently, when augmented with the commonly used negative log-likelihood loss, our approach significantly improves discrimination performance without directly manipulating the model outputs, thereby achieving better calibration. Experiments on multiple real-world clinical datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art deep survival models in both discrimination and calibration. Through comprehensive ablation studies, we further validate the effectiveness of our approach through quantitative and qualitative analyses.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_11340
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Toward a Well-Calibrated Discrimination via Survival Outcome-Aware Contrastive Learning
Lee, Dongjoon
Park, Hyeryn
Lee, Changhee
Machine Learning
Previous deep learning approaches for survival analysis have primarily relied on ranking losses to improve discrimination performance, which often comes at the expense of calibration performance. To address such an issue, we propose a novel contrastive learning approach specifically designed to enhance discrimination \textit{without} sacrificing calibration. Our method employs weighted sampling within a contrastive learning framework, assigning lower penalties to samples with similar survival outcomes. This aligns well with the assumption that patients with similar event times share similar clinical statuses. Consequently, when augmented with the commonly used negative log-likelihood loss, our approach significantly improves discrimination performance without directly manipulating the model outputs, thereby achieving better calibration. Experiments on multiple real-world clinical datasets demonstrate that our method outperforms state-of-the-art deep survival models in both discrimination and calibration. Through comprehensive ablation studies, we further validate the effectiveness of our approach through quantitative and qualitative analyses.
title Toward a Well-Calibrated Discrimination via Survival Outcome-Aware Contrastive Learning
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.11340