Convergence to the Truth

Fuente: arXiv
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Autore principale: Lin, Hanti
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Lin, Hanti
author_facet Lin, Hanti
contents This article reviews and develops an epistemological tradition in the philosophy of science, known as convergentism, which holds that inference methods should be assessed based on their ability to converge to the truth across a range of possible scenarios. Emphasis is placed on its historical origins in the work of C. S. Peirce and its recent developments in formal epistemology and data science (including statistics and machine learning). Comparisons are made with three other traditions: (1) explanationism, which holds that theory choice should be guided by a theory's overall balance of explanatory virtues, such as simplicity and fit with data; (2) instrumentalism, which maintains that scientific inference should be driven by the goal of obtaining useful models rather than true theories; and (3) Bayesianism, which shifts the focus from all-or-nothing beliefs to degrees of belief.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_11399
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Convergence to the Truth
Lin, Hanti
Other Statistics
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Methodology
This article reviews and develops an epistemological tradition in the philosophy of science, known as convergentism, which holds that inference methods should be assessed based on their ability to converge to the truth across a range of possible scenarios. Emphasis is placed on its historical origins in the work of C. S. Peirce and its recent developments in formal epistemology and data science (including statistics and machine learning). Comparisons are made with three other traditions: (1) explanationism, which holds that theory choice should be guided by a theory's overall balance of explanatory virtues, such as simplicity and fit with data; (2) instrumentalism, which maintains that scientific inference should be driven by the goal of obtaining useful models rather than true theories; and (3) Bayesianism, which shifts the focus from all-or-nothing beliefs to degrees of belief.
title Convergence to the Truth
topic Other Statistics
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.11399