Distributional Matrix Completion via Nearest Neighbors in the Wasserstein Space

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Main Authors: Feitelberg, Jacob, Choi, Kyuseong, Agarwal, Anish, Dwivedi, Raaz
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Feitelberg, Jacob
Choi, Kyuseong
Agarwal, Anish
Dwivedi, Raaz
author_facet Feitelberg, Jacob
Choi, Kyuseong
Agarwal, Anish
Dwivedi, Raaz
contents We study the problem of distributional matrix completion: Given a sparsely observed matrix of empirical distributions, we seek to impute the true distributions associated with both observed and unobserved matrix entries. This is a generalization of traditional matrix completion, where the observations per matrix entry are scalar-valued. To do so, we utilize tools from optimal transport to generalize the nearest neighbors method to the distributional setting. Under a suitable latent factor model on probability distributions, we establish that our method recovers the distributions in the Wasserstein metric. We demonstrate through simulations that our method (i) provides better distributional estimates for an entry compared to using observed samples for that entry alone, (ii) yields accurate estimates of distributional quantities such as standard deviation and value-at-risk, and (iii) inherently supports heteroscedastic distributions. In addition, we demonstrate our method on a real-world dataset of quarterly earnings prediction distributions. We also prove novel asymptotic results for Wasserstein barycenters over one-dimensional distributions.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_13112
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Distributional Matrix Completion via Nearest Neighbors in the Wasserstein Space
Feitelberg, Jacob
Choi, Kyuseong
Agarwal, Anish
Dwivedi, Raaz
Machine Learning
Methodology
We study the problem of distributional matrix completion: Given a sparsely observed matrix of empirical distributions, we seek to impute the true distributions associated with both observed and unobserved matrix entries. This is a generalization of traditional matrix completion, where the observations per matrix entry are scalar-valued. To do so, we utilize tools from optimal transport to generalize the nearest neighbors method to the distributional setting. Under a suitable latent factor model on probability distributions, we establish that our method recovers the distributions in the Wasserstein metric. We demonstrate through simulations that our method (i) provides better distributional estimates for an entry compared to using observed samples for that entry alone, (ii) yields accurate estimates of distributional quantities such as standard deviation and value-at-risk, and (iii) inherently supports heteroscedastic distributions. In addition, we demonstrate our method on a real-world dataset of quarterly earnings prediction distributions. We also prove novel asymptotic results for Wasserstein barycenters over one-dimensional distributions.
title Distributional Matrix Completion via Nearest Neighbors in the Wasserstein Space
topic Machine Learning
Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.13112