Taming the Long Tail in Human Mobility Prediction

Fuente: arXiv
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Hauptverfasser: Xu, Xiaohang, Jiang, Renhe, Yang, Chuang, Fan, Zipei, Sezaki, Kaoru
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Xu, Xiaohang
Jiang, Renhe
Yang, Chuang
Fan, Zipei
Sezaki, Kaoru
author_facet Xu, Xiaohang
Jiang, Renhe
Yang, Chuang
Fan, Zipei
Sezaki, Kaoru
contents With the popularity of location-based services, human mobility prediction plays a key role in enhancing personalized navigation, optimizing recommendation systems, and facilitating urban mobility and planning. This involves predicting a user's next POI (point-of-interest) visit using their past visit history. However, the uneven distribution of visitations over time and space, namely the long-tail problem in spatial distribution, makes it difficult for AI models to predict those POIs that are less visited by humans. In light of this issue, we propose the Long-Tail Adjusted Next POI Prediction (LoTNext) framework for mobility prediction, combining a Long-Tailed Graph Adjustment module to reduce the impact of the long-tailed nodes in the user-POI interaction graph and a novel Long-Tailed Loss Adjustment module to adjust loss by logit score and sample weight adjustment strategy. Also, we employ the auxiliary prediction task to enhance generalization and accuracy. Our experiments with two real-world trajectory datasets demonstrate that LoTNext significantly surpasses existing state-of-the-art works.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_14970
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Taming the Long Tail in Human Mobility Prediction
Xu, Xiaohang
Jiang, Renhe
Yang, Chuang
Fan, Zipei
Sezaki, Kaoru
Social and Information Networks
Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Machine Learning
With the popularity of location-based services, human mobility prediction plays a key role in enhancing personalized navigation, optimizing recommendation systems, and facilitating urban mobility and planning. This involves predicting a user's next POI (point-of-interest) visit using their past visit history. However, the uneven distribution of visitations over time and space, namely the long-tail problem in spatial distribution, makes it difficult for AI models to predict those POIs that are less visited by humans. In light of this issue, we propose the Long-Tail Adjusted Next POI Prediction (LoTNext) framework for mobility prediction, combining a Long-Tailed Graph Adjustment module to reduce the impact of the long-tailed nodes in the user-POI interaction graph and a novel Long-Tailed Loss Adjustment module to adjust loss by logit score and sample weight adjustment strategy. Also, we employ the auxiliary prediction task to enhance generalization and accuracy. Our experiments with two real-world trajectory datasets demonstrate that LoTNext significantly surpasses existing state-of-the-art works.
title Taming the Long Tail in Human Mobility Prediction
topic Social and Information Networks
Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.14970