Bayesian-based Propensity Score Subclassification Estimator

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Orihara, Shunichiro, Momozaki, Tomotaka
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Orihara, Shunichiro
Momozaki, Tomotaka
author_facet Orihara, Shunichiro
Momozaki, Tomotaka
contents Subclassification estimators are one of the methods used to estimate causal effects of interest using the propensity score. This method is more stable compared to other weighting methods, such as inverse probability weighting estimators, in terms of the variance of the estimators. In subclassification estimators, the number of strata is traditionally set at five, and this number is not typically chosen based on data information. Even when the number of strata is selected, the uncertainty from the selection process is often not properly accounted for. In this study, we propose a novel Bayesian-based subclassification estimator that can assess the uncertainty in the number of strata, rather than selecting a single optimal number, using a Bayesian paradigm. To achieve this, we apply a general Bayesian procedure that does not rely on a likelihood function. This procedure allows us to avoid making strong assumptions about the outcome model, maintaining the same flexibility as traditional causal inference methods. With the proposed Bayesian procedure, it is expected that uncertainties from the design phase can be appropriately reflected in the analysis phase, which is sometimes overlooked in non-Bayesian contexts.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_15102
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Bayesian-based Propensity Score Subclassification Estimator
Orihara, Shunichiro
Momozaki, Tomotaka
Methodology
Subclassification estimators are one of the methods used to estimate causal effects of interest using the propensity score. This method is more stable compared to other weighting methods, such as inverse probability weighting estimators, in terms of the variance of the estimators. In subclassification estimators, the number of strata is traditionally set at five, and this number is not typically chosen based on data information. Even when the number of strata is selected, the uncertainty from the selection process is often not properly accounted for. In this study, we propose a novel Bayesian-based subclassification estimator that can assess the uncertainty in the number of strata, rather than selecting a single optimal number, using a Bayesian paradigm. To achieve this, we apply a general Bayesian procedure that does not rely on a likelihood function. This procedure allows us to avoid making strong assumptions about the outcome model, maintaining the same flexibility as traditional causal inference methods. With the proposed Bayesian procedure, it is expected that uncertainties from the design phase can be appropriately reflected in the analysis phase, which is sometimes overlooked in non-Bayesian contexts.
title Bayesian-based Propensity Score Subclassification Estimator
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.15102