Conditional Prediction ROC Bands for Graph Classification

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Wu, Yujia, Yang, Bo, Chen, Elynn, Chen, Yuzhou, Zheng, Zheshi
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Wu, Yujia
Yang, Bo
Chen, Elynn
Chen, Yuzhou
Zheng, Zheshi
author_facet Wu, Yujia
Yang, Bo
Chen, Elynn
Chen, Yuzhou
Zheng, Zheshi
contents Graph classification in medical imaging and drug discovery requires accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification. To address this need, we introduce Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands, offering uncertainty quantification for ROC curves and robustness to distributional shifts in test data. Although developed for Tensorized Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs), CP-ROC is adaptable to general Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and other machine learning models. We establish statistically guaranteed coverage for CP-ROC under a local exchangeability condition. This addresses uncertainty challenges for ROC curves under non-iid setting, ensuring reliability when test graph distributions differ from training data. Empirically, to establish local exchangeability for TGNNs, we introduce a data-driven approach to construct local calibration sets for graphs. Comprehensive evaluations show that CP-ROC significantly improves prediction reliability across diverse tasks. This method enhances uncertainty quantification efficiency and reliability for ROC curves, proving valuable for real-world applications with non-iid objects.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_15239
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Conditional Prediction ROC Bands for Graph Classification
Wu, Yujia
Yang, Bo
Chen, Elynn
Chen, Yuzhou
Zheng, Zheshi
Machine Learning
Graph classification in medical imaging and drug discovery requires accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification. To address this need, we introduce Conditional Prediction ROC (CP-ROC) bands, offering uncertainty quantification for ROC curves and robustness to distributional shifts in test data. Although developed for Tensorized Graph Neural Networks (TGNNs), CP-ROC is adaptable to general Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and other machine learning models. We establish statistically guaranteed coverage for CP-ROC under a local exchangeability condition. This addresses uncertainty challenges for ROC curves under non-iid setting, ensuring reliability when test graph distributions differ from training data. Empirically, to establish local exchangeability for TGNNs, we introduce a data-driven approach to construct local calibration sets for graphs. Comprehensive evaluations show that CP-ROC significantly improves prediction reliability across diverse tasks. This method enhances uncertainty quantification efficiency and reliability for ROC curves, proving valuable for real-world applications with non-iid objects.
title Conditional Prediction ROC Bands for Graph Classification
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.15239