xLSTM-Mixer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Mixing via Scalar Memories

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Kraus, Maurice, Divo, Felix, Dhami, Devendra Singh, Kersting, Kristian
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Kraus, Maurice
Divo, Felix
Dhami, Devendra Singh
Kersting, Kristian
author_facet Kraus, Maurice
Divo, Felix
Dhami, Devendra Singh
Kersting, Kristian
contents Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable predictions. We introduce xLSTM-Mixer, a model designed to effectively integrate temporal sequences, joint time-variate information, and multiple perspectives for robust forecasting. Our approach begins with a linear forecast shared across variates, which is then refined by xLSTM blocks. They serve as key elements for modeling the complex dynamics of challenging time series data. xLSTM-Mixer ultimately reconciles two distinct views to produce the final forecast. Our extensive evaluations demonstrate its superior long-term forecasting performance compared to recent state-of-the-art methods while requiring very little memory. A thorough model analysis provides further insights into its key components and confirms its robustness and effectiveness. This work contributes to the resurgence of recurrent models in forecasting by combining them, for the first time, with mixing architectures.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_16928
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle xLSTM-Mixer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Mixing via Scalar Memories
Kraus, Maurice
Divo, Felix
Dhami, Devendra Singh
Kersting, Kristian
Machine Learning
I.2.6
Time series data is prevalent across numerous fields, necessitating the development of robust and accurate forecasting models. Capturing patterns both within and between temporal and multivariate components is crucial for reliable predictions. We introduce xLSTM-Mixer, a model designed to effectively integrate temporal sequences, joint time-variate information, and multiple perspectives for robust forecasting. Our approach begins with a linear forecast shared across variates, which is then refined by xLSTM blocks. They serve as key elements for modeling the complex dynamics of challenging time series data. xLSTM-Mixer ultimately reconciles two distinct views to produce the final forecast. Our extensive evaluations demonstrate its superior long-term forecasting performance compared to recent state-of-the-art methods while requiring very little memory. A thorough model analysis provides further insights into its key components and confirms its robustness and effectiveness. This work contributes to the resurgence of recurrent models in forecasting by combining them, for the first time, with mixing architectures.
title xLSTM-Mixer: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting by Mixing via Scalar Memories
topic Machine Learning
I.2.6
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.16928