Optimal Impulse Control for Cyber Risk Management

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Hillairet, Caroline, Mastrolia, Thibaut, Sabbagh, Wissal
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Hillairet, Caroline
Mastrolia, Thibaut
Sabbagh, Wissal
author_facet Hillairet, Caroline
Mastrolia, Thibaut
Sabbagh, Wissal
contents We explore an optimal impulse control problem wherein an electronic device owner strategically calibrates protection levels against cyber attacks. Utilizing epidemiological compartment models, we qualitatively characterize the dynamics of cyber attacks within the network. We determine the optimal protective measures against effective hacking by formulating and solving a stochastic control problem with optimal switching. We demonstrate that the value function for the cluster owner constitutes a viscosity solution to a system of coupled variational inequalities associated with a fully coupled reflected backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). Furthermore, we devise a comprehensive algorithm alongside a verification procedure to ascertain the optimal timing for network protection across various cyber attack scenarios. Our findings are illustrated through numerical approximations employing deep Galerkin methods for partial differential equations (PDEs). We visualize the optimal protection strategies in the context of two distinct attack scenarios: (1) a constant cyber attack, (2) an exogenous cyber attack strategy modeled with a Poisson process.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_17706
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Optimal Impulse Control for Cyber Risk Management
Hillairet, Caroline
Mastrolia, Thibaut
Sabbagh, Wissal
Optimization and Control
Probability
We explore an optimal impulse control problem wherein an electronic device owner strategically calibrates protection levels against cyber attacks. Utilizing epidemiological compartment models, we qualitatively characterize the dynamics of cyber attacks within the network. We determine the optimal protective measures against effective hacking by formulating and solving a stochastic control problem with optimal switching. We demonstrate that the value function for the cluster owner constitutes a viscosity solution to a system of coupled variational inequalities associated with a fully coupled reflected backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE). Furthermore, we devise a comprehensive algorithm alongside a verification procedure to ascertain the optimal timing for network protection across various cyber attack scenarios. Our findings are illustrated through numerical approximations employing deep Galerkin methods for partial differential equations (PDEs). We visualize the optimal protection strategies in the context of two distinct attack scenarios: (1) a constant cyber attack, (2) an exogenous cyber attack strategy modeled with a Poisson process.
title Optimal Impulse Control for Cyber Risk Management
topic Optimization and Control
Probability
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.17706