Large Language Models for Financial Aid in Financial Time-series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Islam, Md Khairul, Karmacharya, Ayush, Sue, Timothy, Fox, Judy
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Islam, Md Khairul
Karmacharya, Ayush
Sue, Timothy
Fox, Judy
author_facet Islam, Md Khairul
Karmacharya, Ayush
Sue, Timothy
Fox, Judy
contents Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis", analogous to forecasting financial trends. However, many of these time series data in Financial Aid (FA) pose unique challenges due to limited historical datasets and high dimensional financial information, which hinder the development of effective predictive models that balance accuracy with efficient runtime and memory usage. Pre-trained foundation models are employed to address these challenging tasks. We use state-of-the-art time series models including pre-trained LLMs (GPT-2 as the backbone), transformers, and linear models to demonstrate their ability to outperform traditional approaches, even with minimal ("few-shot") or no fine-tuning ("zero-shot"). Our benchmark study, which includes financial aid with seven other time series tasks, shows the potential of using LLMs for scarce financial datasets.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_19025
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Large Language Models for Financial Aid in Financial Time-series Forecasting
Islam, Md Khairul
Karmacharya, Ayush
Sue, Timothy
Fox, Judy
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Considering the difficulty of financial time series forecasting in financial aid, much of the current research focuses on leveraging big data analytics in financial services. One modern approach is to utilize "predictive analysis", analogous to forecasting financial trends. However, many of these time series data in Financial Aid (FA) pose unique challenges due to limited historical datasets and high dimensional financial information, which hinder the development of effective predictive models that balance accuracy with efficient runtime and memory usage. Pre-trained foundation models are employed to address these challenging tasks. We use state-of-the-art time series models including pre-trained LLMs (GPT-2 as the backbone), transformers, and linear models to demonstrate their ability to outperform traditional approaches, even with minimal ("few-shot") or no fine-tuning ("zero-shot"). Our benchmark study, which includes financial aid with seven other time series tasks, shows the potential of using LLMs for scarce financial datasets.
title Large Language Models for Financial Aid in Financial Time-series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19025