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Main Authors: Susmann, Herbert, Li, Yiting, McAdams-DeMarco, Mara A., Díaz, Iván, Wu, Wenbo
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19073
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author Susmann, Herbert
Li, Yiting
McAdams-DeMarco, Mara A.
Díaz, Iván
Wu, Wenbo
author_facet Susmann, Herbert
Li, Yiting
McAdams-DeMarco, Mara A.
Díaz, Iván
Wu, Wenbo
contents Provider profiling has the goal of identifying healthcare providers with exceptional patient outcomes. When evaluating providers, adjustment is necessary to control for differences in case-mix between different providers. Direct and indirect standardization are two popular risk adjustment methods. In causal terms, direct standardization examines a counterfactual in which the entire target population is treated by one provider. Indirect standardization, commonly expressed as a standardized outcome ratio, examines the counterfactual in which the population treated by a provider had instead been randomly assigned to another provider. Our first contribution is to present nonparametric efficiency bound for direct and indirectly standardized provider metrics by deriving their efficient influence functions. Our second contribution is to propose fully nonparametric estimators based on targeted minimum loss-based estimation that achieve the efficiency bounds. The finite-sample performance of the estimator is investigated through simulation studies. We apply our methods to evaluate dialysis facilities in New York State in terms of unplanned readmission rates using a large Medicare claims dataset. A software implementation of our methods is available in the R package TargetedRisk.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_19073
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Doubly Robust Nonparametric Efficient Estimation for Provider Evaluation
Susmann, Herbert
Li, Yiting
McAdams-DeMarco, Mara A.
Díaz, Iván
Wu, Wenbo
Methodology
Provider profiling has the goal of identifying healthcare providers with exceptional patient outcomes. When evaluating providers, adjustment is necessary to control for differences in case-mix between different providers. Direct and indirect standardization are two popular risk adjustment methods. In causal terms, direct standardization examines a counterfactual in which the entire target population is treated by one provider. Indirect standardization, commonly expressed as a standardized outcome ratio, examines the counterfactual in which the population treated by a provider had instead been randomly assigned to another provider. Our first contribution is to present nonparametric efficiency bound for direct and indirectly standardized provider metrics by deriving their efficient influence functions. Our second contribution is to propose fully nonparametric estimators based on targeted minimum loss-based estimation that achieve the efficiency bounds. The finite-sample performance of the estimator is investigated through simulation studies. We apply our methods to evaluate dialysis facilities in New York State in terms of unplanned readmission rates using a large Medicare claims dataset. A software implementation of our methods is available in the R package TargetedRisk.
title Doubly Robust Nonparametric Efficient Estimation for Provider Evaluation
topic Methodology
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19073