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Main Authors: Bose, Alexis, Ethier, Jonathan, Guinand, Paul
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
Subjects:
Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19077
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author Bose, Alexis
Ethier, Jonathan
Guinand, Paul
author_facet Bose, Alexis
Ethier, Jonathan
Guinand, Paul
contents This paper introduces Target Strangeness, a novel difficulty estimator for conformal prediction (CP) that offers an alternative approach for normalizing prediction intervals (PIs). By assessing how atypical a prediction is within the context of its nearest neighbours' target distribution, Target Strangeness can surpass the current state-of-the-art performance. This novel difficulty estimator is evaluated against others in the context of several conformal regression experiments.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_19077
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Target Strangeness: A Novel Conformal Prediction Difficulty Estimator
Bose, Alexis
Ethier, Jonathan
Guinand, Paul
Machine Learning
This paper introduces Target Strangeness, a novel difficulty estimator for conformal prediction (CP) that offers an alternative approach for normalizing prediction intervals (PIs). By assessing how atypical a prediction is within the context of its nearest neighbours' target distribution, Target Strangeness can surpass the current state-of-the-art performance. This novel difficulty estimator is evaluated against others in the context of several conformal regression experiments.
title Target Strangeness: A Novel Conformal Prediction Difficulty Estimator
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19077