Physics-based inverse modeling of battery degradation with Bayesian methods

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Philipp, Micha C. J., Kuhn, Yannick, Latz, Arnulf, Horstmann, Birger
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Philipp, Micha C. J.
Kuhn, Yannick
Latz, Arnulf
Horstmann, Birger
author_facet Philipp, Micha C. J.
Kuhn, Yannick
Latz, Arnulf
Horstmann, Birger
contents To further improve Lithium-ion batteries (LiBs), a profound understanding of complex battery processes is crucial. Physical models offer understanding but are difficult to validate and parameterize. Therefore, automated machine-learning methods (ML) are necessary to evaluate models with experimental data. Bayesian methods, e.g., Bayesian optimization for likelihood-free inference (EP-BOLFI), stand out as they capture uncertainties in models and data while granting meaningful parameterization. An important topic is prolonging battery lifetime, which is limited by degradation, such as the solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI) growth. As a case study, we apply EP-BOLFI to parametrize SEI growth models with synthetic and real degradation data. EP-BOLFI allows for incorporating human expertise in the form of suitable feature selection, which improves the parametrization. We show that even under impeded conditions, we achieve correct parameterization with reasonable uncertainty quantification, needing less computational effort than standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Additionally, the physically reliable summary statistics show if parameters are strongly correlated and not unambiguously identifiable. Further, we investigate Bayesian alternately subsampled quadrature (BASQ), which calculates model probabilities, to confirm electron diffusion as the best theoretical model to describe SEI growth during battery storage.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_19478
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Physics-based inverse modeling of battery degradation with Bayesian methods
Philipp, Micha C. J.
Kuhn, Yannick
Latz, Arnulf
Horstmann, Birger
Chemical Physics
Applied Physics
To further improve Lithium-ion batteries (LiBs), a profound understanding of complex battery processes is crucial. Physical models offer understanding but are difficult to validate and parameterize. Therefore, automated machine-learning methods (ML) are necessary to evaluate models with experimental data. Bayesian methods, e.g., Bayesian optimization for likelihood-free inference (EP-BOLFI), stand out as they capture uncertainties in models and data while granting meaningful parameterization. An important topic is prolonging battery lifetime, which is limited by degradation, such as the solid-electrolyte interphase (SEI) growth. As a case study, we apply EP-BOLFI to parametrize SEI growth models with synthetic and real degradation data. EP-BOLFI allows for incorporating human expertise in the form of suitable feature selection, which improves the parametrization. We show that even under impeded conditions, we achieve correct parameterization with reasonable uncertainty quantification, needing less computational effort than standard Markov chain Monte Carlo methods. Additionally, the physically reliable summary statistics show if parameters are strongly correlated and not unambiguously identifiable. Further, we investigate Bayesian alternately subsampled quadrature (BASQ), which calculates model probabilities, to confirm electron diffusion as the best theoretical model to describe SEI growth during battery storage.
title Physics-based inverse modeling of battery degradation with Bayesian methods
topic Chemical Physics
Applied Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.19478