Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Events

Fuente: arXiv
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Autores principales: Eddin, Mohamad Hakam Shams, Gall, Juergen
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
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author Eddin, Mohamad Hakam Shams
Gall, Juergen
author_facet Eddin, Mohamad Hakam Shams
Gall, Juergen
contents The spatio-temporal relations of impacts of extreme events and their drivers in climate data are not fully understood and there is a need of machine learning approaches to identify such spatio-temporal relations from data. The task, however, is very challenging since there are time delays between extremes and their drivers, and the spatial response of such drivers is inhomogeneous. In this work, we propose a first approach and benchmarks to tackle this challenge. Our approach is trained end-to-end to predict spatio-temporally extremes and spatio-temporally drivers in the physical input variables jointly. By enforcing the network to predict extremes from spatio-temporal binary masks of identified drivers, the network successfully identifies drivers that are correlated with extremes. We evaluate our approach on three newly created synthetic benchmarks, where two of them are based on remote sensing or reanalysis climate data, and on two real-world reanalysis datasets. The source code and datasets are publicly available at the project page https://hakamshams.github.io/IDE.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2410_24075
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Events
Eddin, Mohamad Hakam Shams
Gall, Juergen
Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
The spatio-temporal relations of impacts of extreme events and their drivers in climate data are not fully understood and there is a need of machine learning approaches to identify such spatio-temporal relations from data. The task, however, is very challenging since there are time delays between extremes and their drivers, and the spatial response of such drivers is inhomogeneous. In this work, we propose a first approach and benchmarks to tackle this challenge. Our approach is trained end-to-end to predict spatio-temporally extremes and spatio-temporally drivers in the physical input variables jointly. By enforcing the network to predict extremes from spatio-temporal binary masks of identified drivers, the network successfully identifies drivers that are correlated with extremes. We evaluate our approach on three newly created synthetic benchmarks, where two of them are based on remote sensing or reanalysis climate data, and on two real-world reanalysis datasets. The source code and datasets are publicly available at the project page https://hakamshams.github.io/IDE.
title Identifying Spatio-Temporal Drivers of Extreme Events
topic Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2410.24075