Unlocking the Potential of Global Human Expertise

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Meyerson, Elliot, Francon, Olivier, Sargent, Darren, Hodjat, Babak, Miikkulainen, Risto
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Meyerson, Elliot
Francon, Olivier
Sargent, Darren
Hodjat, Babak
Miikkulainen, Risto
author_facet Meyerson, Elliot
Francon, Olivier
Sargent, Darren
Hodjat, Babak
Miikkulainen, Risto
contents Solving societal problems on a global scale requires the collection and processing of ideas and methods from diverse sets of international experts. As the number and diversity of human experts increase, so does the likelihood that elements in this collective knowledge can be combined and refined to discover novel and better solutions. However, it is difficult to identify, combine, and refine complementary information in an increasingly large and diverse knowledge base. This paper argues that artificial intelligence (AI) can play a crucial role in this process. An evolutionary AI framework, termed RHEA, fills this role by distilling knowledge from diverse models created by human experts into equivalent neural networks, which are then recombined and refined in a population-based search. The framework was implemented in a formal synthetic domain, demonstrating that it is transparent and systematic. It was then applied to the results of the XPRIZE Pandemic Response Challenge, in which over 100 teams of experts across 23 countries submitted models based on diverse methodologies to predict COVID-19 cases and suggest non-pharmaceutical intervention policies for 235 nations, states, and regions across the globe. Building upon this expert knowledge, by recombining and refining the 169 resulting policy suggestion models, RHEA discovered a broader and more effective set of policies than either AI or human experts alone, as evaluated based on real-world data. The results thus suggest that AI can play a crucial role in realizing the potential of human expertise in global problem-solving.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_00156
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Unlocking the Potential of Global Human Expertise
Meyerson, Elliot
Francon, Olivier
Sargent, Darren
Hodjat, Babak
Miikkulainen, Risto
Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
Solving societal problems on a global scale requires the collection and processing of ideas and methods from diverse sets of international experts. As the number and diversity of human experts increase, so does the likelihood that elements in this collective knowledge can be combined and refined to discover novel and better solutions. However, it is difficult to identify, combine, and refine complementary information in an increasingly large and diverse knowledge base. This paper argues that artificial intelligence (AI) can play a crucial role in this process. An evolutionary AI framework, termed RHEA, fills this role by distilling knowledge from diverse models created by human experts into equivalent neural networks, which are then recombined and refined in a population-based search. The framework was implemented in a formal synthetic domain, demonstrating that it is transparent and systematic. It was then applied to the results of the XPRIZE Pandemic Response Challenge, in which over 100 teams of experts across 23 countries submitted models based on diverse methodologies to predict COVID-19 cases and suggest non-pharmaceutical intervention policies for 235 nations, states, and regions across the globe. Building upon this expert knowledge, by recombining and refining the 169 resulting policy suggestion models, RHEA discovered a broader and more effective set of policies than either AI or human experts alone, as evaluated based on real-world data. The results thus suggest that AI can play a crucial role in realizing the potential of human expertise in global problem-solving.
title Unlocking the Potential of Global Human Expertise
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computers and Society
Neural and Evolutionary Computing
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.00156