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Main Authors: Qiu, Zihang, Li, Chaojie, Wang, Zhongyang, Xie, Renyou, Zhang, Borui, Mo, Huadong, Chen, Guo, Dong, Zhaoyang
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.00852
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author Qiu, Zihang
Li, Chaojie
Wang, Zhongyang
Xie, Renyou
Zhang, Borui
Mo, Huadong
Chen, Guo
Dong, Zhaoyang
author_facet Qiu, Zihang
Li, Chaojie
Wang, Zhongyang
Xie, Renyou
Zhang, Borui
Mo, Huadong
Chen, Guo
Dong, Zhaoyang
contents Accurate prediction helps to achieve supply-demand balance in energy systems, supporting decision-making and scheduling. Traditional models, lacking AI-assisted automation, rely on experts, incur high costs, and struggle with sparse data prediction. To address these challenges, we propose the Energy Forecasting Large Language Model (EF-LLM), which integrates domain knowledge and temporal data for time-series forecasting, supporting both pre-forecast operations and post-forecast decision-support. EF-LLM's human-AI interaction capabilities lower the entry barrier in forecasting tasks, reducing the need for extra expert involvement. To achieve this, we propose a continual learning approach with updatable LoRA and a multi-channel architecture for aligning heterogeneous multimodal data, enabling EF-LLM to continually learn heterogeneous multimodal knowledge. In addition, EF-LLM enables accurate predictions under sparse data conditions through its ability to process multimodal data. We propose Fusion Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (F-PEFT) method to effectively leverage both time-series data and text for this purpose. EF-LLM is also the first energy-specific LLM to detect hallucinations and quantify their occurrence rate, achieved via multi-task learning, semantic similarity analysis, and ANOVA. We have achieved success in energy prediction scenarios for load, photovoltaic, and wind power forecast.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_00852
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle EF-LLM: Energy Forecasting LLM with AI-assisted Automation, Enhanced Sparse Prediction, Hallucination Detection
Qiu, Zihang
Li, Chaojie
Wang, Zhongyang
Xie, Renyou
Zhang, Borui
Mo, Huadong
Chen, Guo
Dong, Zhaoyang
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Accurate prediction helps to achieve supply-demand balance in energy systems, supporting decision-making and scheduling. Traditional models, lacking AI-assisted automation, rely on experts, incur high costs, and struggle with sparse data prediction. To address these challenges, we propose the Energy Forecasting Large Language Model (EF-LLM), which integrates domain knowledge and temporal data for time-series forecasting, supporting both pre-forecast operations and post-forecast decision-support. EF-LLM's human-AI interaction capabilities lower the entry barrier in forecasting tasks, reducing the need for extra expert involvement. To achieve this, we propose a continual learning approach with updatable LoRA and a multi-channel architecture for aligning heterogeneous multimodal data, enabling EF-LLM to continually learn heterogeneous multimodal knowledge. In addition, EF-LLM enables accurate predictions under sparse data conditions through its ability to process multimodal data. We propose Fusion Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (F-PEFT) method to effectively leverage both time-series data and text for this purpose. EF-LLM is also the first energy-specific LLM to detect hallucinations and quantify their occurrence rate, achieved via multi-task learning, semantic similarity analysis, and ANOVA. We have achieved success in energy prediction scenarios for load, photovoltaic, and wind power forecast.
title EF-LLM: Energy Forecasting LLM with AI-assisted Automation, Enhanced Sparse Prediction, Hallucination Detection
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.00852