Multi-armed Bandits with Missing Outcome

Fuente: arXiv
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Auteurs principaux: Mahrooghi, Ilia, Moradi, Mahshad, Akbari, Sina, Kiyavash, Negar
Format: Preprint
Publié: 2024
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author Mahrooghi, Ilia
Moradi, Mahshad
Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
author_facet Mahrooghi, Ilia
Moradi, Mahshad
Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
contents While significant progress has been made in designing algorithms that minimize regret in online decision-making, real-world scenarios often introduce additional complexities, perhaps the most challenging of which is missing outcomes. Overlooking this aspect or simply assuming random missingness invariably leads to biased estimates of the rewards and may result in linear regret. Despite the practical relevance of this challenge, no rigorous methodology currently exists for systematically handling missingness, especially when the missingness mechanism is not random. In this paper, we address this gap in the context of multi-armed bandits (MAB) with missing outcomes by analyzing the impact of different missingness mechanisms on achievable regret bounds. We introduce algorithms that account for missingness under both missing at random (MAR) and missing not at random (MNAR) models. Through both analytical and simulation studies, we demonstrate the drastic improvements in decision-making by accounting for missingness in these settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_05661
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Multi-armed Bandits with Missing Outcome
Mahrooghi, Ilia
Moradi, Mahshad
Akbari, Sina
Kiyavash, Negar
Machine Learning
While significant progress has been made in designing algorithms that minimize regret in online decision-making, real-world scenarios often introduce additional complexities, perhaps the most challenging of which is missing outcomes. Overlooking this aspect or simply assuming random missingness invariably leads to biased estimates of the rewards and may result in linear regret. Despite the practical relevance of this challenge, no rigorous methodology currently exists for systematically handling missingness, especially when the missingness mechanism is not random. In this paper, we address this gap in the context of multi-armed bandits (MAB) with missing outcomes by analyzing the impact of different missingness mechanisms on achievable regret bounds. We introduce algorithms that account for missingness under both missing at random (MAR) and missing not at random (MNAR) models. Through both analytical and simulation studies, we demonstrate the drastic improvements in decision-making by accounting for missingness in these settings.
title Multi-armed Bandits with Missing Outcome
topic Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.05661