Analysis, forecasting and system identification of a floating offshore wind turbine using dynamic mode decomposition

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Hauptverfasser: Palma, Giorgio, Bardazzi, Andrea, Lucarelli, Alessia, Pilloton, Chiara, Serani, Andrea, Lugni, Claudio, Diez, Matteo
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Palma, Giorgio
Bardazzi, Andrea
Lucarelli, Alessia
Pilloton, Chiara
Serani, Andrea
Lugni, Claudio
Diez, Matteo
author_facet Palma, Giorgio
Bardazzi, Andrea
Lucarelli, Alessia
Pilloton, Chiara
Serani, Andrea
Lugni, Claudio
Diez, Matteo
contents This article presents the data-driven equation-free modeling of the dynamics of a hexafloat floating offshore wind turbine based on the application of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). All the analyses are performed on experimental data collected from an operating prototype. The DMD has here used i) to extract knowledge from the dynamic system through its modal analysis, ii) for short-term forecasting from the knowledge of the immediate past of the system state, and iii) for the system identification and reduced order modeling. The forecasting method for the motions, accelerations, and forces acting on the floating system is developed using Hankel-DMD, a methodological extension that includes time-delayed copies of the states in an augmented state vector. The system identification task is performed by applying Hankel-DMD with control (Hankel-DMDc), which models the system including the effect of forcing terms. The influence of the main hyperparameters of the methods, namely the number of delayed copies in the state and input vector and the length of the observation time, is investigated with a full factorial analysis using three error metrics analyzing complementary aspects of the prediction: the normalized root mean square error, the normalized average minimum-maximum absolute error, and the Jensen-Shannon divergence. A Bayesian extension of the Hankel-DMD and Hankel-DMDc is introduced by considering the hyperparameters as stochastic variables varying in suitable ranges defined after the full factorial analysis, enriching the predictions with uncertainty quantification. Results show the capability of the approaches for short-term forecasting and system identification, suggesting their potential for real-time continuously-learning digital twinning and surrogate data-driven reduced order modeling.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_07263
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Analysis, forecasting and system identification of a floating offshore wind turbine using dynamic mode decomposition
Palma, Giorgio
Bardazzi, Andrea
Lucarelli, Alessia
Pilloton, Chiara
Serani, Andrea
Lugni, Claudio
Diez, Matteo
Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
This article presents the data-driven equation-free modeling of the dynamics of a hexafloat floating offshore wind turbine based on the application of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). All the analyses are performed on experimental data collected from an operating prototype. The DMD has here used i) to extract knowledge from the dynamic system through its modal analysis, ii) for short-term forecasting from the knowledge of the immediate past of the system state, and iii) for the system identification and reduced order modeling. The forecasting method for the motions, accelerations, and forces acting on the floating system is developed using Hankel-DMD, a methodological extension that includes time-delayed copies of the states in an augmented state vector. The system identification task is performed by applying Hankel-DMD with control (Hankel-DMDc), which models the system including the effect of forcing terms. The influence of the main hyperparameters of the methods, namely the number of delayed copies in the state and input vector and the length of the observation time, is investigated with a full factorial analysis using three error metrics analyzing complementary aspects of the prediction: the normalized root mean square error, the normalized average minimum-maximum absolute error, and the Jensen-Shannon divergence. A Bayesian extension of the Hankel-DMD and Hankel-DMDc is introduced by considering the hyperparameters as stochastic variables varying in suitable ranges defined after the full factorial analysis, enriching the predictions with uncertainty quantification. Results show the capability of the approaches for short-term forecasting and system identification, suggesting their potential for real-time continuously-learning digital twinning and surrogate data-driven reduced order modeling.
title Analysis, forecasting and system identification of a floating offshore wind turbine using dynamic mode decomposition
topic Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.07263