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Autori principali: Braha, Dan, de Aguiar, Marcus A. M.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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Accesso online:https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.08625
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author Braha, Dan
de Aguiar, Marcus A. M.
author_facet Braha, Dan
de Aguiar, Marcus A. M.
contents We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally -- toward the correct alternative, and social influence mediates the aggregation of these signals. We show analytically that, in the large-population limit, the probability of a correct majority converges to a nontrivial expression involving the regularized incomplete beta function. Remarkably, this collective accuracy surpasses that of any individual agent whenever private signals are better than random, revealing that network-mediated influence can enhance, rather than impair, group performance. Our findings may inform the design of resilient decision-making systems in social, biological, and engineered networks, where accuracy must emerge from interdependent and noisy agents.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_08625
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Emergence of Collective Accuracy in Socially Connected Networks
Braha, Dan
de Aguiar, Marcus A. M.
Methodology
Computer Science and Game Theory
Social and Information Networks
We analyze the accuracy of collective decision-making in socially connected populations, where agents update binary choices through local interactions on a network. Each agent receives a private signal that is biased -- even marginally -- toward the correct alternative, and social influence mediates the aggregation of these signals. We show analytically that, in the large-population limit, the probability of a correct majority converges to a nontrivial expression involving the regularized incomplete beta function. Remarkably, this collective accuracy surpasses that of any individual agent whenever private signals are better than random, revealing that network-mediated influence can enhance, rather than impair, group performance. Our findings may inform the design of resilient decision-making systems in social, biological, and engineered networks, where accuracy must emerge from interdependent and noisy agents.
title Emergence of Collective Accuracy in Socially Connected Networks
topic Methodology
Computer Science and Game Theory
Social and Information Networks
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.08625