A Likelihood Approach for Inference of Population Heterogeneity in Particle Ensembles with Second-Order Langevin Dynamics

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Main Authors: Albrecht, Jan, Opper, Manfred, Großmann, Robert
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Albrecht, Jan
Opper, Manfred
Großmann, Robert
author_facet Albrecht, Jan
Opper, Manfred
Großmann, Robert
contents The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time-discrete trajectory data provided by experiments. In many cases, second-order Langevin models are needed to adequately capture the motility. Additionally, population heterogeneity needs to be taken into account when analyzing data from several individual organisms. In this work, we describe a maximum likelihood approach to infer dynamical, stochastic models and, simultaneously, estimate the heterogeneity in a population of motile active particles from discretely sampled, stochastic trajectories. To this end, we propose a method to approximate the likelihood for non-linear second-order Langevin models. We show that this maximum likelihood ansatz outperforms alternative approaches, especially for short trajectories. Additionally, we demonstrate how a measure of uncertainty for the heterogeneity estimate can be derived. We thereby pave the way for the systematic, data-driven inference of dynamical models for actively driven entities based on trajectory data, deciphering temporal fluctuations and inter-particle variability.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_08692
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Likelihood Approach for Inference of Population Heterogeneity in Particle Ensembles with Second-Order Langevin Dynamics
Albrecht, Jan
Opper, Manfred
Großmann, Robert
Soft Condensed Matter
Statistical Mechanics
Machine Learning
The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time-discrete trajectory data provided by experiments. In many cases, second-order Langevin models are needed to adequately capture the motility. Additionally, population heterogeneity needs to be taken into account when analyzing data from several individual organisms. In this work, we describe a maximum likelihood approach to infer dynamical, stochastic models and, simultaneously, estimate the heterogeneity in a population of motile active particles from discretely sampled, stochastic trajectories. To this end, we propose a method to approximate the likelihood for non-linear second-order Langevin models. We show that this maximum likelihood ansatz outperforms alternative approaches, especially for short trajectories. Additionally, we demonstrate how a measure of uncertainty for the heterogeneity estimate can be derived. We thereby pave the way for the systematic, data-driven inference of dynamical models for actively driven entities based on trajectory data, deciphering temporal fluctuations and inter-particle variability.
title A Likelihood Approach for Inference of Population Heterogeneity in Particle Ensembles with Second-Order Langevin Dynamics
topic Soft Condensed Matter
Statistical Mechanics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.08692