The Structure of the U.S. Income Distribution

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Author: Kosowsky, Conrad
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Kosowsky, Conrad
author_facet Kosowsky, Conrad
contents I show that U.S. incomes follow a one-parameter family of probability distributions over more than fifty years of data. I compare statistical models of income, and I highlight the inverse-gamma distribution as a parsimonious model that matches data particularly well and has straightforward theoretical interpretations. However, despite having relatively few parameters, the inverse-gamma distribution still overfits income data. I establish a linear relationship between parameter estimates, and a one-dimensional model emerges naturally when I exploit this relationship. I conclude with theoretical remarks about the model.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_08826
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle The Structure of the U.S. Income Distribution
Kosowsky, Conrad
General Economics
Economics
I show that U.S. incomes follow a one-parameter family of probability distributions over more than fifty years of data. I compare statistical models of income, and I highlight the inverse-gamma distribution as a parsimonious model that matches data particularly well and has straightforward theoretical interpretations. However, despite having relatively few parameters, the inverse-gamma distribution still overfits income data. I establish a linear relationship between parameter estimates, and a one-dimensional model emerges naturally when I exploit this relationship. I conclude with theoretical remarks about the model.
title The Structure of the U.S. Income Distribution
topic General Economics
Economics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.08826