Efficient inference for differential equation models without numerical solvers

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Johnston, Alexander, Baker, Ruth E., Simpson, Matthew J.
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Johnston, Alexander
Baker, Ruth E.
Simpson, Matthew J.
author_facet Johnston, Alexander
Baker, Ruth E.
Simpson, Matthew J.
contents Parameter inference is essential when interpreting observational data using mathematical models. Standard inference methods for differential equation models typically rely on obtaining repeated numerical solutions of the differential equation(s). Recent results have explored how numerical truncation error can have major, detrimental, and sometimes hidden impacts on likelihood-based inference by introducing false local maxima into the log-likelihood function. We present a straightforward approach for inference that eliminates the need for solving the underlying differential equations, thereby completely avoiding the impact of truncation error. Open-access Jupyter notebooks, available on GitHub, allow others to implement this method for a broad class of widely-used models to interpret biological data.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_10494
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Efficient inference for differential equation models without numerical solvers
Johnston, Alexander
Baker, Ruth E.
Simpson, Matthew J.
Methodology
00A71
Parameter inference is essential when interpreting observational data using mathematical models. Standard inference methods for differential equation models typically rely on obtaining repeated numerical solutions of the differential equation(s). Recent results have explored how numerical truncation error can have major, detrimental, and sometimes hidden impacts on likelihood-based inference by introducing false local maxima into the log-likelihood function. We present a straightforward approach for inference that eliminates the need for solving the underlying differential equations, thereby completely avoiding the impact of truncation error. Open-access Jupyter notebooks, available on GitHub, allow others to implement this method for a broad class of widely-used models to interpret biological data.
title Efficient inference for differential equation models without numerical solvers
topic Methodology
00A71
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10494