Air Pollution and Under-5 Child Mortality: Evidence from China's Coal Power Plant Phase-out Policy
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arXiv
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| Hauptverfasser: | , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
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2024
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| _version_ | 1866916631625596928 |
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| author | Liu, X. Yu, H. |
| author_facet | Liu, X. Yu, H. |
| contents | This paper evaluates the impact of a mandatory shutdown policy of small-capacity coal power plants during China's $11^{th}$ 5-Year Plan period (2006--2010) on under-5 mortality. We collect capacity and location information on 2181 coal power plants that operated during 2000--2010 and compile a unique data set that combines coal power plants, county-level under-5 mortality and socioeconomic variables, high spatial resolution data of PM$_{2.5}$ and SO$_2$ and meteorological conditions. We model the impacts of air pollution on under-5 mortality using the IV-Lasso method, with distance-weighted sums of retired capacity and high-altitude wind status as instrumental variable candidates for air pollution. Our estimates imply that the phase-out policy saved around 46,000 lives during the $11^{th}$ 5-Year Plan period. We also find heterogeneity in the policy effects across regions. (\textit{JEL} I10, I18, P25, P28, Q52, Q53, Q58) |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_10728 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | Air Pollution and Under-5 Child Mortality: Evidence from China's Coal Power Plant Phase-out Policy Liu, X. Yu, H. General Economics Economics This paper evaluates the impact of a mandatory shutdown policy of small-capacity coal power plants during China's $11^{th}$ 5-Year Plan period (2006--2010) on under-5 mortality. We collect capacity and location information on 2181 coal power plants that operated during 2000--2010 and compile a unique data set that combines coal power plants, county-level under-5 mortality and socioeconomic variables, high spatial resolution data of PM$_{2.5}$ and SO$_2$ and meteorological conditions. We model the impacts of air pollution on under-5 mortality using the IV-Lasso method, with distance-weighted sums of retired capacity and high-altitude wind status as instrumental variable candidates for air pollution. Our estimates imply that the phase-out policy saved around 46,000 lives during the $11^{th}$ 5-Year Plan period. We also find heterogeneity in the policy effects across regions. (\textit{JEL} I10, I18, P25, P28, Q52, Q53, Q58) |
| title | Air Pollution and Under-5 Child Mortality: Evidence from China's Coal Power Plant Phase-out Policy |
| topic | General Economics Economics |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.10728 |