Phenome-wide causal proteomics enhance systemic lupus erythematosus flare prediction: A study in Asian populations

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Main Authors: Chen, Liying, Deng, Ou, Fang, Ting, Chen, Mei, Zhang, Xvfeng, Cong, Ruichen, Lu, Dingqi, Zhang, Runrun, Jin, Qun, Wang, Xinchang
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Chen, Liying
Deng, Ou
Fang, Ting
Chen, Mei
Zhang, Xvfeng
Cong, Ruichen
Lu, Dingqi
Zhang, Runrun
Jin, Qun
Wang, Xinchang
author_facet Chen, Liying
Deng, Ou
Fang, Ting
Chen, Mei
Zhang, Xvfeng
Cong, Ruichen
Lu, Dingqi
Zhang, Runrun
Jin, Qun
Wang, Xinchang
contents Objective: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex autoimmune disease characterized by unpredictable flares. This study aimed to develop a novel proteomics-based risk prediction model specifically for Asian SLE populations to enhance personalized disease management and early intervention. Methods: A longitudinal cohort study was conducted over 48 weeks, including 139 SLE patients monitored every 12 weeks. Patients were classified into flare (n = 53) and non-flare (n = 86) groups. Baseline plasma samples underwent data-independent acquisition (DIA) proteomics analysis, and phenome-wide Mendelian randomization (PheWAS) was performed to evaluate causal relationships between proteins and clinical predictors. Logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF) models were used to integrate proteomic and clinical data for flare risk prediction. Results: Five proteins (SAA1, B4GALT5, GIT2, NAA15, and RPIA) were significantly associated with SLE Disease Activity Index-2K (SLEDAI-2K) scores and 1-year flare risk, implicating key pathways such as B-cell receptor signaling and platelet degranulation. SAA1 demonstrated causal effects on flare-related clinical markers, including hemoglobin and red blood cell counts. A combined model integrating clinical and proteomic data achieved the highest predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.769), surpassing individual models. SAA1 was highlighted as a priority biomarker for rapid flare discrimination. Conclusion: The integration of proteomic and clinical data significantly improves flare prediction in Asian SLE patients. The identification of key proteins and their causal relationships with flare-related clinical markers provides valuable insights for proactive SLE management and personalized therapeutic approaches.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_11915
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Phenome-wide causal proteomics enhance systemic lupus erythematosus flare prediction: A study in Asian populations
Chen, Liying
Deng, Ou
Fang, Ting
Chen, Mei
Zhang, Xvfeng
Cong, Ruichen
Lu, Dingqi
Zhang, Runrun
Jin, Qun
Wang, Xinchang
Genomics
Machine Learning
Objective: Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is a complex autoimmune disease characterized by unpredictable flares. This study aimed to develop a novel proteomics-based risk prediction model specifically for Asian SLE populations to enhance personalized disease management and early intervention. Methods: A longitudinal cohort study was conducted over 48 weeks, including 139 SLE patients monitored every 12 weeks. Patients were classified into flare (n = 53) and non-flare (n = 86) groups. Baseline plasma samples underwent data-independent acquisition (DIA) proteomics analysis, and phenome-wide Mendelian randomization (PheWAS) was performed to evaluate causal relationships between proteins and clinical predictors. Logistic regression (LR) and random forest (RF) models were used to integrate proteomic and clinical data for flare risk prediction. Results: Five proteins (SAA1, B4GALT5, GIT2, NAA15, and RPIA) were significantly associated with SLE Disease Activity Index-2K (SLEDAI-2K) scores and 1-year flare risk, implicating key pathways such as B-cell receptor signaling and platelet degranulation. SAA1 demonstrated causal effects on flare-related clinical markers, including hemoglobin and red blood cell counts. A combined model integrating clinical and proteomic data achieved the highest predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.769), surpassing individual models. SAA1 was highlighted as a priority biomarker for rapid flare discrimination. Conclusion: The integration of proteomic and clinical data significantly improves flare prediction in Asian SLE patients. The identification of key proteins and their causal relationships with flare-related clinical markers provides valuable insights for proactive SLE management and personalized therapeutic approaches.
title Phenome-wide causal proteomics enhance systemic lupus erythematosus flare prediction: A study in Asian populations
topic Genomics
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.11915