Composing Ensembles of Instrument-Model Pairs for Optimizing Profitability in Algorithmic Trading

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1. Verfasser: Hassanizorgabad, Sahand
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Hassanizorgabad, Sahand
author_facet Hassanizorgabad, Sahand
contents Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since various factors like stock-specific news, company profiles, public sentiments, and global economic conditions influence them. This paper describes a daily price directional predictive system of financial instruments, addressing the difficulty of predicting short-term price movements. This paper will introduce the development of a novel trading system methodology by proposing a two-layer Composing Ensembles architecture, optimized through grid search, to predict whether the price will rise or fall the next day. This strategy was back-tested on a wide range of financial instruments and time frames, demonstrating an improvement of 20% over the benchmark, representing a standard investment strategy.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_13559
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Composing Ensembles of Instrument-Model Pairs for Optimizing Profitability in Algorithmic Trading
Hassanizorgabad, Sahand
Trading and Market Microstructure
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
Financial markets are nonlinear with complexity, where different types of assets are traded between buyers and sellers, each having a view to maximize their Return on Investment (ROI). Forecasting market trends is a challenging task since various factors like stock-specific news, company profiles, public sentiments, and global economic conditions influence them. This paper describes a daily price directional predictive system of financial instruments, addressing the difficulty of predicting short-term price movements. This paper will introduce the development of a novel trading system methodology by proposing a two-layer Composing Ensembles architecture, optimized through grid search, to predict whether the price will rise or fall the next day. This strategy was back-tested on a wide range of financial instruments and time frames, demonstrating an improvement of 20% over the benchmark, representing a standard investment strategy.
title Composing Ensembles of Instrument-Model Pairs for Optimizing Profitability in Algorithmic Trading
topic Trading and Market Microstructure
Artificial Intelligence
Machine Learning
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.13559