A Unified Energy Management Framework for Multi-Timescale Forecasting in Smart Grids
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arXiv
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Preprint |
| Published: |
2024
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| _version_ | 1866909400848924672 |
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| author | Zhao, Dafang Piao, Xihao Chen, Zheng Li, Zhengmao Taniguchi, Ittetsu |
| author_facet | Zhao, Dafang Piao, Xihao Chen, Zheng Li, Zhengmao Taniguchi, Ittetsu |
| contents | Accurate forecasting of the electrical load, such as the magnitude and the timing of peak power, is crucial to successful power system management and implementation of smart grid strategies like demand response and peak shaving. In multi-time-scale optimization scheduling, rolling optimization is a common solution. However, rolling optimization needs to consider the coupling of different optimization objectives across time scales. It is challenging to accurately capture the mid- and long-term dependencies in time series data. This paper proposes Multi-pofo, a multi-scale power load forecasting framework, that captures such dependency via a novel architecture equipped with a temporal positional encoding layer. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed model, we conduct experiments on real-world electricity load data. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms compared to several strong baseline methods. |
| format | Preprint |
| id |
arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_15254 |
| institution | arXiv |
| publishDate | 2024 |
| record_format | arxiv |
| spellingShingle | A Unified Energy Management Framework for Multi-Timescale Forecasting in Smart Grids Zhao, Dafang Piao, Xihao Chen, Zheng Li, Zhengmao Taniguchi, Ittetsu Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence Accurate forecasting of the electrical load, such as the magnitude and the timing of peak power, is crucial to successful power system management and implementation of smart grid strategies like demand response and peak shaving. In multi-time-scale optimization scheduling, rolling optimization is a common solution. However, rolling optimization needs to consider the coupling of different optimization objectives across time scales. It is challenging to accurately capture the mid- and long-term dependencies in time series data. This paper proposes Multi-pofo, a multi-scale power load forecasting framework, that captures such dependency via a novel architecture equipped with a temporal positional encoding layer. To validate the effectiveness of the proposed model, we conduct experiments on real-world electricity load data. The experimental results show that our approach outperforms compared to several strong baseline methods. |
| title | A Unified Energy Management Framework for Multi-Timescale Forecasting in Smart Grids |
| topic | Machine Learning Artificial Intelligence |
| url | https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.15254 |