Disentangled Parameter-Efficient Linear Model for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting

Fuente: arXiv
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Main Authors: Zhao, Yuang, Li, Tianyu, Chen, Jiadong, Ye, Shenrong, Jiang, Fuxin, Gao, Xiaofeng
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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author Zhao, Yuang
Li, Tianyu
Chen, Jiadong
Ye, Shenrong
Jiang, Fuxin
Gao, Xiaofeng
author_facet Zhao, Yuang
Li, Tianyu
Chen, Jiadong
Ye, Shenrong
Jiang, Fuxin
Gao, Xiaofeng
contents Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is crucial across various domains, but complex deep models like Transformers are often prone to overfitting on extended sequences. Linear Fully Connected models have emerged as a powerful alternative, achieving competitive results with fewer parameters. However, their reliance on a single, monolithic weight matrix leads to quadratic parameter redundancy and an entanglement of temporal and frequential properties. To address this, we propose DiPE-Linear, a novel model that disentangles this monolithic mapping into a sequence of specialized, parameter-efficient modules. DiPE-Linear features three core components: Static Frequential Attention to prioritize critical frequencies, Static Time Attention to focus on key time steps, and Independent Frequential Mapping to independently process frequency components. A Low-rank Weight Sharing policy further enhances efficiency for multivariate data. This disentangled architecture collectively reduces parameter complexity from quadratic to linear and computational complexity to log-linear. Experiments on real-world datasets show that DiPE-Linear delivers state-of-the-art performance with significantly fewer parameters, establishing a new and highly efficient baseline for LTSF. Our code is available at https://github.com/wintertee/DiPE-Linear/
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2411_17257
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Disentangled Parameter-Efficient Linear Model for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
Zhao, Yuang
Li, Tianyu
Chen, Jiadong
Ye, Shenrong
Jiang, Fuxin
Gao, Xiaofeng
Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
Long-term Time Series Forecasting (LTSF) is crucial across various domains, but complex deep models like Transformers are often prone to overfitting on extended sequences. Linear Fully Connected models have emerged as a powerful alternative, achieving competitive results with fewer parameters. However, their reliance on a single, monolithic weight matrix leads to quadratic parameter redundancy and an entanglement of temporal and frequential properties. To address this, we propose DiPE-Linear, a novel model that disentangles this monolithic mapping into a sequence of specialized, parameter-efficient modules. DiPE-Linear features three core components: Static Frequential Attention to prioritize critical frequencies, Static Time Attention to focus on key time steps, and Independent Frequential Mapping to independently process frequency components. A Low-rank Weight Sharing policy further enhances efficiency for multivariate data. This disentangled architecture collectively reduces parameter complexity from quadratic to linear and computational complexity to log-linear. Experiments on real-world datasets show that DiPE-Linear delivers state-of-the-art performance with significantly fewer parameters, establishing a new and highly efficient baseline for LTSF. Our code is available at https://github.com/wintertee/DiPE-Linear/
title Disentangled Parameter-Efficient Linear Model for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting
topic Machine Learning
Artificial Intelligence
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.17257