Counter-Geoengineering: Feasibility and Policy Implications for a Geoengineered World

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Autori principali: de Bolle, Felipe, Kolemen, Egemen
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author de Bolle, Felipe
Kolemen, Egemen
author_facet de Bolle, Felipe
Kolemen, Egemen
contents With the increasing urgency of climate change's impacts and limited success in reducing emissions, "geoengineering," or the artificial manipulation of the climate to reduce warming rates, has been proposed as an alternative short-term solution. Options range from taking carbon out of the atmosphere through carbon sinks and brightening clouds to increasing the planet's albedo through the release of reflective particles into the atmosphere. While still controversial, geoengineering has been proposed by some as a promising and low-cost way of combating climate change. In particular, so-called 'moderate' geoengineering is claimed to be achievable with few potential side effects or other ramifications. However, this paper argues that the effect of moderate geoengineering can easily be nullified by 'counter-geoengineering,' and any impactful geoengineering would require a global governance framework to prevent countries which benefit from warming temperatures from deploying counter-geoengineering. In this paper, we take Russia as an example due to its potential interest in counteracting geoengineering and its significant ability to release a great amount of methane, a viable counter-geoengineering pathway in the short term.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_03598
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Counter-Geoengineering: Feasibility and Policy Implications for a Geoengineered World
de Bolle, Felipe
Kolemen, Egemen
Physics and Society
General Economics
Economics
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
With the increasing urgency of climate change's impacts and limited success in reducing emissions, "geoengineering," or the artificial manipulation of the climate to reduce warming rates, has been proposed as an alternative short-term solution. Options range from taking carbon out of the atmosphere through carbon sinks and brightening clouds to increasing the planet's albedo through the release of reflective particles into the atmosphere. While still controversial, geoengineering has been proposed by some as a promising and low-cost way of combating climate change. In particular, so-called 'moderate' geoengineering is claimed to be achievable with few potential side effects or other ramifications. However, this paper argues that the effect of moderate geoengineering can easily be nullified by 'counter-geoengineering,' and any impactful geoengineering would require a global governance framework to prevent countries which benefit from warming temperatures from deploying counter-geoengineering. In this paper, we take Russia as an example due to its potential interest in counteracting geoengineering and its significant ability to release a great amount of methane, a viable counter-geoengineering pathway in the short term.
title Counter-Geoengineering: Feasibility and Policy Implications for a Geoengineered World
topic Physics and Society
General Economics
Economics
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.03598