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Main Authors: Xiao, Chaojun, Cai, Jie, Zhao, Weilin, Zeng, Guoyang, Lin, Biyuan, Zhou, Jie, Zheng, Zhi, Han, Xu, Liu, Zhiyuan, Sun, Maosong
Format: Preprint
Published: 2024
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Online Access:https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.04315
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author Xiao, Chaojun
Cai, Jie
Zhao, Weilin
Zeng, Guoyang
Lin, Biyuan
Zhou, Jie
Zheng, Zhi
Han, Xu
Liu, Zhiyuan
Sun, Maosong
author_facet Xiao, Chaojun
Cai, Jie
Zhao, Weilin
Zeng, Guoyang
Lin, Biyuan
Zhou, Jie
Zheng, Zhi
Han, Xu
Liu, Zhiyuan
Sun, Maosong
contents Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as a milestone in artificial intelligence, and their performance can improve as the model size increases. However, this scaling brings great challenges to training and inference efficiency, particularly for deploying LLMs in resource-constrained environments, and the scaling trend is becoming increasingly unsustainable. This paper introduces the concept of ``\textit{capacity density}'' as a new metric to evaluate the quality of the LLMs across different scales and describes the trend of LLMs in terms of both effectiveness and efficiency. To calculate the capacity density of a given target LLM, we first introduce a set of reference models and develop a scaling law to predict the downstream performance of these reference models based on their parameter sizes. We then define the \textit{effective parameter size} of the target LLM as the parameter size required by a reference model to achieve equivalent performance, and formalize the capacity density as the ratio of the effective parameter size to the actual parameter size of the target LLM. Capacity density provides a unified framework for assessing both model effectiveness and efficiency. Our further analysis of recent open-source base LLMs reveals an empirical law (the densing law)that the capacity density of LLMs grows exponentially over time. More specifically, using some widely used benchmarks for evaluation, the capacity density of LLMs doubles approximately every three months. The law provides new perspectives to guide future LLM development, emphasizing the importance of improving capacity density to achieve optimal results with minimal computational overhead.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_04315
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Densing Law of LLMs
Xiao, Chaojun
Cai, Jie
Zhao, Weilin
Zeng, Guoyang
Lin, Biyuan
Zhou, Jie
Zheng, Zhi
Han, Xu
Liu, Zhiyuan
Sun, Maosong
Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
Large Language Models (LLMs) have emerged as a milestone in artificial intelligence, and their performance can improve as the model size increases. However, this scaling brings great challenges to training and inference efficiency, particularly for deploying LLMs in resource-constrained environments, and the scaling trend is becoming increasingly unsustainable. This paper introduces the concept of ``\textit{capacity density}'' as a new metric to evaluate the quality of the LLMs across different scales and describes the trend of LLMs in terms of both effectiveness and efficiency. To calculate the capacity density of a given target LLM, we first introduce a set of reference models and develop a scaling law to predict the downstream performance of these reference models based on their parameter sizes. We then define the \textit{effective parameter size} of the target LLM as the parameter size required by a reference model to achieve equivalent performance, and formalize the capacity density as the ratio of the effective parameter size to the actual parameter size of the target LLM. Capacity density provides a unified framework for assessing both model effectiveness and efficiency. Our further analysis of recent open-source base LLMs reveals an empirical law (the densing law)that the capacity density of LLMs grows exponentially over time. More specifically, using some widely used benchmarks for evaluation, the capacity density of LLMs doubles approximately every three months. The law provides new perspectives to guide future LLM development, emphasizing the importance of improving capacity density to achieve optimal results with minimal computational overhead.
title Densing Law of LLMs
topic Artificial Intelligence
Computation and Language
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.04315