Uncertainty-Aware Capacity Expansion for Real-World DER Deployment via End-to-End Network Integration

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Hauptverfasser: Pan, Yiyuan, Xie, Yiheng, Low, Steven
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Pan, Yiyuan
Xie, Yiheng
Low, Steven
author_facet Pan, Yiyuan
Xie, Yiheng
Low, Steven
contents The deployment of distributed energy resource (DER) devices plays a critical role in distribution grids, offering multiple value streams, including decarbonization, provision of ancillary services, non-wire alternatives, and enhanced grid flexibility. However, existing research on capacity expansion suffers from two major limitations that undermine the realistic accuracy of the proposed models: (i) the lack of modeling of three-phase unbalanced AC distribution networks, and (ii) the absence of explicit treatment of model uncertainty. To address these challenges, we develop a two-stage robust optimization model that incorporates a 3-phase unbalanced power flow model for solving the capacity expansion problem. Furthermore, we integrate a predictive neural network with the optimization model in an end-to-end training framework to handle uncertain variables with provable guarantees. Finally, we validate the proposed framework using real-world power grid data collected from our partner distribution system operators. The experimental results demonstrate that our hybrid framework, which combines the strengths of optimization models and neural networks, provides tractable decision-making support for DER deployments in real-world scenarios.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_05956
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Uncertainty-Aware Capacity Expansion for Real-World DER Deployment via End-to-End Network Integration
Pan, Yiyuan
Xie, Yiheng
Low, Steven
Systems and Control
The deployment of distributed energy resource (DER) devices plays a critical role in distribution grids, offering multiple value streams, including decarbonization, provision of ancillary services, non-wire alternatives, and enhanced grid flexibility. However, existing research on capacity expansion suffers from two major limitations that undermine the realistic accuracy of the proposed models: (i) the lack of modeling of three-phase unbalanced AC distribution networks, and (ii) the absence of explicit treatment of model uncertainty. To address these challenges, we develop a two-stage robust optimization model that incorporates a 3-phase unbalanced power flow model for solving the capacity expansion problem. Furthermore, we integrate a predictive neural network with the optimization model in an end-to-end training framework to handle uncertain variables with provable guarantees. Finally, we validate the proposed framework using real-world power grid data collected from our partner distribution system operators. The experimental results demonstrate that our hybrid framework, which combines the strengths of optimization models and neural networks, provides tractable decision-making support for DER deployments in real-world scenarios.
title Uncertainty-Aware Capacity Expansion for Real-World DER Deployment via End-to-End Network Integration
topic Systems and Control
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.05956