A Physics-Constrained Neural Differential Equation Framework for Data-Driven Snowpack Simulation

Fuente: arXiv
Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Charbonneau, Andrew, Deck, Katherine, Schneider, Tapio
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
_version_ 1866917074487476224
author Charbonneau, Andrew
Deck, Katherine
Schneider, Tapio
author_facet Charbonneau, Andrew
Deck, Katherine
Schneider, Tapio
contents This paper presents a physics-constrained neural differential equation framework for parameterization, and employs it to model the time evolution of seasonal snow depth given hydrometeorological forcings. When trained on data from multiple SNOTEL sites, the parameterization predicts daily snow depth with under 9% median error and Nash Sutcliffe Efficiencies over 0.94 across a wide variety of snow climates. The parameterization also generalizes to new sites not seen during training, which is not often true for calibrated snow models. Requiring the parameterization to predict snow water equivalent in addition to snow depth only increases error to ~12%. The structure of the approach guarantees the satisfaction of physical constraints, enables these constraints during model training, and allows modeling at different temporal resolutions without additional retraining of the parameterization. These benefits hold potential in climate modeling, and could extend to other dynamical systems with physical constraints.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_06819
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle A Physics-Constrained Neural Differential Equation Framework for Data-Driven Snowpack Simulation
Charbonneau, Andrew
Deck, Katherine
Schneider, Tapio
Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
This paper presents a physics-constrained neural differential equation framework for parameterization, and employs it to model the time evolution of seasonal snow depth given hydrometeorological forcings. When trained on data from multiple SNOTEL sites, the parameterization predicts daily snow depth with under 9% median error and Nash Sutcliffe Efficiencies over 0.94 across a wide variety of snow climates. The parameterization also generalizes to new sites not seen during training, which is not often true for calibrated snow models. Requiring the parameterization to predict snow water equivalent in addition to snow depth only increases error to ~12%. The structure of the approach guarantees the satisfaction of physical constraints, enables these constraints during model training, and allows modeling at different temporal resolutions without additional retraining of the parameterization. These benefits hold potential in climate modeling, and could extend to other dynamical systems with physical constraints.
title A Physics-Constrained Neural Differential Equation Framework for Data-Driven Snowpack Simulation
topic Machine Learning
Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.06819