On the Consistency of Bayesian Adaptive Testing under the Rasch Model

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Hauptverfasser: Yang, Hau-Hung, Wei, Chia-Min, Chen, Yu-Chang
Format: Preprint
Veröffentlicht: 2024
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author Yang, Hau-Hung
Wei, Chia-Min
Chen, Yu-Chang
author_facet Yang, Hau-Hung
Wei, Chia-Min
Chen, Yu-Chang
contents This study establishes the consistency of Bayesian adaptive testing methods under the Rasch model, addressing a gap in the literature on their large-sample guarantees. Although Bayesian approaches are recognized for their finite-sample performance and capability to circumvent issues such as the cold-start problem; however, rigorous proofs of their asymptotic properties, particularly in non-i.i.d. structures, remain lacking. We derive conditions under which the posterior distributions of latent traits converge to the true values for a sequence of given items, and demonstrate that Bayesian estimators remain robust under the mis-specification of the prior. Our analysis then extends to adaptive item selection methods in which items are chosen endogenously during the test. Additionally, we develop a Bayesian decision-theoretical framework for the item selection problem and propose a novel selection that aligns the test process with optimal estimator performance. These theoretical results provide a foundation for Bayesian methods in adaptive testing, complementing prior evidence of their finite-sample advantages.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_07170
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle On the Consistency of Bayesian Adaptive Testing under the Rasch Model
Yang, Hau-Hung
Wei, Chia-Min
Chen, Yu-Chang
Methodology
Applications
This study establishes the consistency of Bayesian adaptive testing methods under the Rasch model, addressing a gap in the literature on their large-sample guarantees. Although Bayesian approaches are recognized for their finite-sample performance and capability to circumvent issues such as the cold-start problem; however, rigorous proofs of their asymptotic properties, particularly in non-i.i.d. structures, remain lacking. We derive conditions under which the posterior distributions of latent traits converge to the true values for a sequence of given items, and demonstrate that Bayesian estimators remain robust under the mis-specification of the prior. Our analysis then extends to adaptive item selection methods in which items are chosen endogenously during the test. Additionally, we develop a Bayesian decision-theoretical framework for the item selection problem and propose a novel selection that aligns the test process with optimal estimator performance. These theoretical results provide a foundation for Bayesian methods in adaptive testing, complementing prior evidence of their finite-sample advantages.
title On the Consistency of Bayesian Adaptive Testing under the Rasch Model
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.07170