Gaussian Process with dissolution spline kernel

Fuente: arXiv
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Autori principali: Murphy, Fiona, Bachiller, Marina Navas, D'Arcy, Deirdre M., Benavoli, Alessio
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Murphy, Fiona
Bachiller, Marina Navas
D'Arcy, Deirdre M.
Benavoli, Alessio
author_facet Murphy, Fiona
Bachiller, Marina Navas
D'Arcy, Deirdre M.
Benavoli, Alessio
contents In-vitro dissolution testing is a critical component in the quality control of manufactured drug products. The $\mathrm{f}_2$ statistic is the standard for assessing similarity between two dissolution profiles. However, the $\mathrm{f}_2$ statistic has known limitations: it lacks an uncertainty estimate, is a discrete-time metric, and is a biased measure, calculating the differences between profiles at discrete time points. To address these limitations, we propose a Gaussian Process (GP) with a dissolution spline kernel for dissolution profile comparison. The dissolution spline kernel is a new spline kernel using logistic functions as its basis functions, enabling the GP to capture the expected monotonic increase in dissolution curves. This results in better predictions of dissolution curves. This new GP model reduces bias in the $\mathrm{f}_2$ calculation by allowing predictions to be interpolated in time between observed values, and provides uncertainty quantification. We assess the model's performance through simulations and real datasets, demonstrating its improvement over a previous GP-based model introduced for dissolution testing. We also show that the new model can be adapted to include dissolution-specific covariates. Applying the model to real ibuprofen dissolution data under various conditions, we demonstrate its ability to extrapolate curve shapes across different experimental settings.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_07524
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Gaussian Process with dissolution spline kernel
Murphy, Fiona
Bachiller, Marina Navas
D'Arcy, Deirdre M.
Benavoli, Alessio
Methodology
Applications
In-vitro dissolution testing is a critical component in the quality control of manufactured drug products. The $\mathrm{f}_2$ statistic is the standard for assessing similarity between two dissolution profiles. However, the $\mathrm{f}_2$ statistic has known limitations: it lacks an uncertainty estimate, is a discrete-time metric, and is a biased measure, calculating the differences between profiles at discrete time points. To address these limitations, we propose a Gaussian Process (GP) with a dissolution spline kernel for dissolution profile comparison. The dissolution spline kernel is a new spline kernel using logistic functions as its basis functions, enabling the GP to capture the expected monotonic increase in dissolution curves. This results in better predictions of dissolution curves. This new GP model reduces bias in the $\mathrm{f}_2$ calculation by allowing predictions to be interpolated in time between observed values, and provides uncertainty quantification. We assess the model's performance through simulations and real datasets, demonstrating its improvement over a previous GP-based model introduced for dissolution testing. We also show that the new model can be adapted to include dissolution-specific covariates. Applying the model to real ibuprofen dissolution data under various conditions, we demonstrate its ability to extrapolate curve shapes across different experimental settings.
title Gaussian Process with dissolution spline kernel
topic Methodology
Applications
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.07524