Reliable Uncertainty Quantification for Fiber Orientation in Composite Molding Processes using Multilevel Polynomial Surrogates

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Autori principali: Salatovic, Stjepan, Krumscheid, Sebastian, Wittemann, Florian, Kärger, Luise
Natura: Preprint
Pubblicazione: 2024
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author Salatovic, Stjepan
Krumscheid, Sebastian
Wittemann, Florian
Kärger, Luise
author_facet Salatovic, Stjepan
Krumscheid, Sebastian
Wittemann, Florian
Kärger, Luise
contents Fiber orientation is decisive for the mechanical performance of composite materials. During manufacturing, variations in material and process parameters can influence fiber orientation. We employ multilevel polynomial surrogates to model the propagation of uncertain material properties in the injection molding process. To ensure reliable uncertainty quantification, a key focus is deriving novel error bounds for statistical measures of a quantity of interest. Numerical experiments employ the Cross-WLF viscosity model and Hagen-Poiseuille flow to investigate the impact of uncertainties in fiber length and matrix temperature on the fractional anisotropy of fiber orientation. The Folgar-Tucker equation and the improved anisotropic rotary diffusion model, incorporating analytical solutions, are used for verification. Results show that the method improves significantly upon standard Monte Carlo estimation, while also providing error guarantees. These findings offer the first step toward a reliable and practical tool for optimizing fiber-reinforced polymer manufacturing processes in the future.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_08459
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Reliable Uncertainty Quantification for Fiber Orientation in Composite Molding Processes using Multilevel Polynomial Surrogates
Salatovic, Stjepan
Krumscheid, Sebastian
Wittemann, Florian
Kärger, Luise
Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Numerical Analysis
Fiber orientation is decisive for the mechanical performance of composite materials. During manufacturing, variations in material and process parameters can influence fiber orientation. We employ multilevel polynomial surrogates to model the propagation of uncertain material properties in the injection molding process. To ensure reliable uncertainty quantification, a key focus is deriving novel error bounds for statistical measures of a quantity of interest. Numerical experiments employ the Cross-WLF viscosity model and Hagen-Poiseuille flow to investigate the impact of uncertainties in fiber length and matrix temperature on the fractional anisotropy of fiber orientation. The Folgar-Tucker equation and the improved anisotropic rotary diffusion model, incorporating analytical solutions, are used for verification. Results show that the method improves significantly upon standard Monte Carlo estimation, while also providing error guarantees. These findings offer the first step toward a reliable and practical tool for optimizing fiber-reinforced polymer manufacturing processes in the future.
title Reliable Uncertainty Quantification for Fiber Orientation in Composite Molding Processes using Multilevel Polynomial Surrogates
topic Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science
Numerical Analysis
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.08459