Estimating Potential Tritium and Plutonium Production in North Korea's Experimental Light Water Reactor

Fuente: arXiv
Guardado en:
Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Park, Patrick J., Glaser, Alexander
Formato: Preprint
Publicado: 2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:
Etiquetas: Agregar Etiqueta
Sin Etiquetas, Sea el primero en etiquetar este registro!
_version_ 1866913614359691264
author Park, Patrick J.
Glaser, Alexander
author_facet Park, Patrick J.
Glaser, Alexander
contents Our work explores North Korea's 100 MW-th Experimental Light Water Reactor (ELWR) and its potential contributions to the country's nuclear weapons program. Built at the Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center, the ELWR began operations in October 2023 and represents North Korea's first attempts at a light-water reactor using domestically-enriched, ceramic fuel. Our study examines possible configurations for energy, tritium, and tritium-plutonium co-production. Assuming a single-batch core, the ELWR can be used to annually produce 48-82 grams of tritium, which can supply 2-4 new boosted warheads each year, up to a maximum arsenal of 88-150 warheads total. Concurrent production of tritium and weapon-grade plutonium is also possible but requires reprocessing of spent ceramic fuel. These findings underscore how North Korea's nuclear capabilities may be advanced through the ELWR's dual-use potential.
format Preprint
id arxiv_https___arxiv_org_abs_2412_11993
institution arXiv
publishDate 2024
record_format arxiv
spellingShingle Estimating Potential Tritium and Plutonium Production in North Korea's Experimental Light Water Reactor
Park, Patrick J.
Glaser, Alexander
Instrumentation and Detectors
Our work explores North Korea's 100 MW-th Experimental Light Water Reactor (ELWR) and its potential contributions to the country's nuclear weapons program. Built at the Yongbyon Nuclear Research Center, the ELWR began operations in October 2023 and represents North Korea's first attempts at a light-water reactor using domestically-enriched, ceramic fuel. Our study examines possible configurations for energy, tritium, and tritium-plutonium co-production. Assuming a single-batch core, the ELWR can be used to annually produce 48-82 grams of tritium, which can supply 2-4 new boosted warheads each year, up to a maximum arsenal of 88-150 warheads total. Concurrent production of tritium and weapon-grade plutonium is also possible but requires reprocessing of spent ceramic fuel. These findings underscore how North Korea's nuclear capabilities may be advanced through the ELWR's dual-use potential.
title Estimating Potential Tritium and Plutonium Production in North Korea's Experimental Light Water Reactor
topic Instrumentation and Detectors
url https://arxiv.org/abs/2412.11993